Voice over LTE (VoLTE) Market Opportunities and Forecast 2013 - 2018

  • October 2013
  • -
  • Mind Commerce Publishing
  • -
  • 119 pages

Overview:

Fourth generation (4G) data services are in the deployment stage, but is will be a few years until there is ubiquitous LTE coverage. Meanwhile, there are competitive threats emerging against incumbent carriers' core voice services. This is coming at a time when all bearer services (voice and data) are becoming marginalized due to market expectations, economic conditions, and a coming supply side expansion in terms of network capacity.

There is a technical case to be made for a mass movement to VoLTE. The technology would make roaming easier, alleviate concerns with spectrum, and leverage backhaul. VoLTE is easier on the battery life of phones compared to 3G.

However, because of the tight, global economy, many mobile operators (especially the big pan-European operators) would prefer to leverage their HSPA networks. VoLTE will be exactly how voice is handled a decade from now, but that does not speak to the immediate future.

As mobile network operators (MNO) deploy VoLTE, they will not take a step back in terms of performance from their 3G networks. Even as revenues from voice are deteriorating from the stiffness of competition in each market and from OTT vendors offering voice application services; voice calls still represent the majority revenues.

This research assesses the market drivers and outlook for VoLTE as well as carrier opportunities and challenges. The report forecasts VoLTE growth globally and regionally. The report includes conclusions and recommendations for network operators. The Report also includes vendor analysis from selected companies including Empirix, OpenCloud, Openmind Networks, Samsung, and Tropo.

Report Benefits:

Global and regional forecast for Voice over LTE (VoLTE)
Identify challenges and opportunities for LTE services providers
Understand the business drivers and key success factors for VoLTE
Identify opportunities for infrastructure providers and application developers
Understand LTE technology and supporting next generation network infrastructure

Target Audience:

OSS/BSS Solution Providers
Mobile Network Operators
Mobile Software Developers
Mobile Payment Service Providers
Handset and Tablet Manufacturers
Content and Applications Mediators
Social Commerce Vendors and providers
Mobile Marketing and Advertising Providers
Telecommunications Infrastructure Providers

Table Of Contents

1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 9
2.0 CURRENT STATUS, OUTLOOK, AND FORECASTS FOR MOBILE DATA 10
2.1 LTE 2013 STATUS UPDATE 10
2.1.1 STRUCTURAL ISSUES 12
2.1.2 STANDARDIZATION: LTE RELEASE 11 AND THE ROADMAP BEYOND 12
2.2 MOBILE DATA SUBSCRIPTIONS AND MOBILE DATA USAGE 14
2.3 LTE SUBSCRIPTIONS 16
2.4 GLOBAL MARKET SHARE BY TECHNOLOGY 17
2.5 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA REVENUE: OVERALL AND LTE SHARE 18
3.0 VOICE OVER LTE (VOLTE) 19
3.1 VOLTE OPERATION 19
3.1.1 VOLTE, RCS, AND IMS 19
3.1.2 ALTERNATIVES TO VOLTE 20
3.2 VOLTE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR MOBILE OPERATORS 21
3.2.1 MANAGEMENT OF MACRO SPECTRUM 21
3.2.2 GREATER EFFICIENCY OF MICRO SPECTRUM 21
3.2.3 IMPROVED QOS 21
3.2.4 LESS HARDWARE AND COTS EQUIPMENT 22
3.2.5 ROAMING WILL BE DRAMATICALLY EASIER 22
3.2.6 LESS EXPENSIVE PER BIT BACKHAUL 22
3.2.7 COMPARABLE DEVICE PERFORM BETTER ON LTE THAN ON 3G NETWORKS 22
3.3 FACTORS THAT COULD SLOW THE GROWTH OF VOLTE 23
3.3.1 SPECTRUM ISSUES INCLUDING THE LACK OF GLOBALLY HARMONIZED SPECTRUM 23
3.3.2 LACK OF SPECTRUM COHERENCY IN THE UNITED STATES 24
3.3.3 DEVICE MANUFACTURERS ARE RETICENT TO SUPPORT VOLTE 25
3.3.4 TECHNICAL CHALLENGES IN THE NETWORK 25
3.3.5 RELAXED RULES ON NETWORK SHARING IN THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION 26
3.3.6 THE GLOBAL RECESSION CONTINUES 27
3.4 THE STATUS OF CURRENT VOLTE MOBILE OPERATORS 27
4.0 VOLTE OUTLOOK BY INDUSTRY VERTICALS 29
4.1.1 OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY 29
4.1.2 CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY 29
4.1.3 AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY 30
4.1.4 MINING AND EXTRACTION INDUSTRY 30
4.1.5 UTILITIES AND SMARTGRID 31
4.1.6 TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY 31
4.1.7 MILITARY/DEFENSE 32
4.1.8 PUBLIC SAFETY 33
4.1.9 EDUCATION AND DISTANCE LEARNING 34
4.1.10 HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY 34
5.0 GLOBAL VOLTE OUTLOOK AND FORECASTS BY REGION 35
5.1 ASIA PACIFIC 36
5.1.1 AUSTRALIA 37
5.1.2 CHINA 38
5.1.3 HONG KONG 39
5.1.4 INDIA 40
5.1.5 JAPAN 41
5.1.6 SOUTH KOREA 43
5.1.7 REST OF ASIA PACIFIC 44
5.1.8 FORECAST ASIA PACIFIC VOLTE 45
5.2 CALA 46
5.2.1 ARGENTINA 47
5.2.2 BRAZIL 48
5.2.3 CHILE 49
5.2.4 COLOMBIA 50
5.2.5 MEXICO 50
5.2.6 PUERTO RICO 51
5.2.7 REST OF CALA 52
5.2.8 FORECAST CALA VOLTE 52
5.3 EASTERN EUROPE 53
5.3.1 HUNGARY 54
5.3.2 POLAND 55
5.3.3 ROMANIA 55
5.3.4 RUSSIA 56
5.3.5 REST OF EASTERN EUROPE 58
5.3.6 FORECAST EASTERN EUROPE VOLTE 59
5.4 MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA 59
5.4.1 CONTINENTAL AFRICA 60
5.4.2 SAUDI ARABIA 60
5.4.3 SOUTH AFRICA 62
5.4.4 REST OF MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA 63
5.4.5 FORECAST MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA VOLTE 64
5.5 NORTH AMERICA 64
5.5.1 TIMELINE OF ACTIVITIES IN THE NORTH AMERICAN MARKET 65
5.5.2 ATandT 67
5.5.3 BELL MOBILITY 68
5.5.4 CLEARWIRE 69
5.5.5 ROGERS WIRELESS 70
5.5.6 SPRINT 70
5.5.7 TELUS MOBILITY 71
5.5.8 T-MOBILE/METROPCS 72
5.5.9 VERIZON WIRELESS 73
5.5.10 REST OF REGION NORTH AMERICA 74
5.5.11 FORECAST NORTH AMERICA VOLTE 75
5.6 WESTERN EUROPE 75
5.6.1 STRATEGIES OF THE PAN-EUROPEAN MOBILE CARRIERS 76
5.6.2 FRANCE 79
5.6.3 GERMANY 80
5.6.4 ITALY 81
5.6.5 SPAIN 82
5.6.6 SWEDEN 83
5.6.7 UNITED KINGDOM 83
5.6.8 REST OF WESTERN EUROPE 84
5.6.9 FORECAST WESTERN EUROPE VOLTE 86
5.7 ROLL-UP FORECAST GLOBAL VOLTE 87
6.0 VENDOR ANALYSIS 88
6.1 EMPIRIX 88
6.2 OPENCLOUD 89
6.3 OPENMIND NETWORKS 91
6.4 SAMSUNG 92
6.5 TROPO 93
7.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 96
8.0 APPENDICES 97
8.1 LTE TECHNOLOGY AND ARCHITECTURE 97
8.1.1 LTE TECHNOLOGY 97
8.1.2 LTE ADVANCED 100
8.1.3 LTE INFRASTRUCTURE ELEMENTS AND ARCHITECTURE 101
8.2 LTE ARCHITECTURE DETAILS 110
8.2.1 SERVICE ARCHITECTURE 111
8.2.2 LAYER 2 OF LTE 112
8.2.3 DOWNLINK LOGICAL 113
8.2.4 UPLINK LOGICAL 114
8.2.5 MOBILITY ACROSS ENBS 115
8.3 IP MULTIMEDIA SUBSYSTEM (IMS 116
8.3.1 IMS PLANES 116
8.3.2 IMS NETWORK ELEMENTS 117
8.4 SERVICE CENTRALIZED AND CONTINUITY APPLICATION SERVER (SCC) 119

List of Graphs

Figure 1: Market Share by Wireless Technology 17
Figure 2: VoLTE Commitments and Deployments, GSA May 2013 28
Figure 3: Public Safety LTE Network 33
Figure 4: LTE E-UTRAN Infrastructure Network Elements 102
Figure 5: LTE EPC Infrastructure Network Elements 107
Figure 6: Understanding LTE Network Elements and Channels 112
Figure 7: IMS Planes 117
Figure 8: IMS Model 118
Figure 9: Service Centralized and Continuity Application Server 119

List of Tables

Table 1: LTE in 2013 11
Table 2: Formal Status of LTE Release 10, 11, and 12 13
Table 3: Mobile Data Subscriber Forecast 2G/3G and LTE (M) 2013-2018 15
Table 4: Mobile Data Usage per Subscriber for 2G/3G and LTE (M) 2013-2018 15
Table 5: LTE Subscriptions, by Region, Subscriptions Millions, 2013-2018 17
Table 6: Global Mobile Operator Revenue from Data ($M) and % of LTE 2013-2018 18
Table 7: Asia Pacific VoLTE Subscribers, VoLTE Revenue and VoLTE POP, Revenues (US$ M) Subscribers and POP in Thousands, 2013-2018 46
Table 8: Brazil Mobile Subscriptions (as of May 2013), Subscriptions in Millions, % of Overall Market 48
Table 9: CALA VoLTE Subscribers, VoLTE Revenue and VoLTE POP, Revenues (US$ M) Subscribers and POP in Thousands, 2013-2018 53
Table 10: Local Eastern European Mobile Operators Owned by pan-European Operators, Subscribers in Millions, Ownership by Operator 53
Table 11: Eastern Europe VoLTE Subscribers, VoLTE Revenue and VoLTE POP, Revenues (US$ M) Subscribers and POP in Thousands, 2013-2018 59
Table 12: Middle East and Africa VoLTE Subscribers, VoLTE Revenue and VoLTE POP, Revenues (US$ M) Subscribers and POP in Thousands, 2013-2018 64
Table 13: Long-term Objectives of Sprint Network Vision 70
Table 14: North America VoLTE Subscribers, VoLTE Revenue and VoLTE POP, Revenues (US$ M) Subscribers and POP in Thousands, 2013-2018 75
Table 15: European Countries where pan-European Carriers have National Markets 76
Table 16: Vodafone LTE and RCS/joyn® Presence in Europe 77
Table 17: Western Europe VoLTE Subscribers, VoLTE Revenue and VoLTE POP, Revenues (US$ M) Subscribers and POP in Thousands, 2013-2018 86
Table 18: Global VoLTE Subscribers, VoLTE Revenue and VoLTE POP, Revenues US$Millions, Subscribers and POP in Thousands, 2013-2018 87

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