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Russia Power Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 75 pages

BMI View: We expect very limited growth in Russian electricity generation, capacity and consumption overour forecast period to 2025. Our muted outlook for the market - one of the world's biggest - is based onsevere macroeconomic headwinds and prolonged geopolitical uncertainty, which will take a toll on theeconomy and - by extension - the power sector.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- The broader economic and political backdrop frames our views on the Russian power sector in 2016. Theannexation of Crimea and perceived Russian belligerence towards the West has shattered investorconfidence and will deter significant foreign investment. Meanwhile, global oil prices of below USD30/bbl in early 2016 have made the government's budget assumptions untenable, which will necessitatefurther spending cuts. At the same time, tight credit conditions - exacerbated by international sanctions -will drag on economic growth.

Table Of Contents

Russia Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Russia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Russia Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Russia 2015-2020) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Russia 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Russia Power Forecast Scenario 11
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecast 14
Table: Russia's Energy Strategy 2030 16
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 24
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019) 24
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025) 25
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019) 26
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025) 26
Electricity Consumption 27
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019) 27
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025) 27
Transmission and Distribution, Import And Export 28
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019) 31
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025) 31
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Russia 2014-2019) 31
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Russia 2020-2025) 31
Industry Risk/Reward Index 32
Regional Risk Reward Index 32
Russia Power Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 38
Market Overview 40
Key Policies And Market Structure 40
Regulation And Competition 40
Sustainable Energy Policies 41
Pricing 42
Russia Power Projects Database 44
Competitive Landscape 48
Federal Grid Company (FGC) 48
Inter RAO UES 49
Gazprom Energoholding 49
EON 50
Enel 50
Company Profile 51
Inter RAO 51
EON 55
Regional Overview 65
Europe - CEE Renewables: Affordable Coal To Trump Renewables 65
Table: Turkey - Ambitious Renewables Targets 67
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Terms 69
Methodology 70
Methodology And Sources 70
Industry Forecast Methodology 70
Sources 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 73
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 75

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