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  5. > Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 131 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Mexico's historic energy sector liberalisation marks the start of a fundamental shift for thecountry's hydrocarbons sector. Although it will be a number of years before results are felt in the country'sproduction and reserves data, over the long term the reforms will bolster upstream activity and reverse adecade-long decline in oil production.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

-Weak fundamentals combined with bearish speculative positioning have depressed benchmark pricesbelow profitable levels for Mexican crude production. Our forecast for continued price volatility over thenext several months will weigh on Mexico's already downbeat outlook, limiting investment into existingprojects by state-owned Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex). We have therefore reduced our growth figure fortotal liquids production this year from a previous average of -4.3% to -6.9% y-o-y implying a furtherreduction of 93,000b/d. This compares to a decline of 6.1% y-o-y in 2015 and extends Mexico's overalllosses for a 12th consecutive year.

Table Of Contents

Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 17
Table: Mexico - Major Upstream Projects 17
Upstream Production - Oil 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Oil Production (Mexico 2014-2019) 30
Table: Oil Production (Mexico 2020-2025) 30
Upstream Production - Gas 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Cost Per Well 34
Table: Gas Production (Mexico 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Production (Mexico 2020-2025) 36
Refining 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Mexican Refineries, Active And Proposed 38
Table: Pemex Downstream Spending Plan 40
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mexico 2014-2019) 42
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mexico 2020-2025) 43
Refined Fuels Consumption 44
Latest Updates 44
Structural Trends 44
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019) 46
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Mexico 2020-2025) 46
Gas Consumption 47
Latest Updates 47
Structural Trends 47
Table: Gas Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019) 50
Table: Gas Consumption (Mexico 2020-2025) 50
Trade - Oil 51
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 51
Latest Updates 51
Structural Trends 51
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2020) 54
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025) 55
Refined Fuels Forecasts 55
Latest Updates 55
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2019) 56
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025) 57
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 58
Latest Updates 58
Structural Trends 58
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2019) 61
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025) 61
Industry Risk Reward Index 62
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index 62
Table: Latin America - Composite Risk/Reward Index, Out of 100 62
Composite RRI: Sector Shifts Continue To Take Shape 63
Upstream RRI: Few Shifts, But Changes Loom 64
Table: Latin America - Upstream Risk/Reward Index, Out of 100 65
Downstream RRI: Medium-Term Outlook Reinforces Current Dynamics 67
Table: Latin America Downstream Risk/Reward Index, Out of 100 69
Mexico - Risk/Reward Index 70
Mexico Upstream Index - Overview 70
Mexico Downstream Index - Overview 71
Market Overview 72
Energy Market Overview 72
Overview 72
Government Policy 72
Licensing And Regulation 76
Table: First Bidding Round: Southern Region 76
Table: Second Bidding Round - Northern Region 76
Table: Third Bid Round - Chicontepec 77
Table: Tender Schedule For Mexico's Licensing Round One 78
International Energy Relations 79
Table: Mexico's Export Crude Grades 82
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 83
Oil Refineries 83
Table: Downstream Projects 85
Service Stations 86
Oil Storage Facilities 86
Oil Terminals/Ports 86
Oil Pipelines 87
LNG Terminals 87
Table: LNG Import Terminals In Mexico 88
Gas Pipelines 89
Competitive Landscape 92
Competitive Landscape Summary 92
Table: Key Energy Players 93
Table: Upstream Players 94
Table: Downstream Players 94
Company Profile 95
Pemex 95
Repsol 106
Other Summaries 110
Regional Overview 113
Latin America Overview 113
Table: Latin America Oil And Gas Production, Refining Capacity And Trade, 2013-2024 122
Glossary 124
Table: Glossary Of Terms 124
Methodology 126
Industry Forecast Methodology 126
Source 128
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 128
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 130
Table: Weighting 131

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