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Oman Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Growth in Oman's construction industry will come primarily from investment in transportinfrastructure projects and the government's push for public-private partnerships to mobilise privateinvestment into the construction sector. This will become increasingly important as global oil prices remainlow, curbing government spending.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We have revised down our construction industry growth forecast for Oman in 2016 from 3.9% to 2.41%in real terms, reflecting the negative impact of sustained low oil prices. Our Oil & Gas team again reviseddownwards its Brent oil price forecast this quarter, forecasting Brent to average USD40 per barrel (bbl) in2016, after an average of USD97.2/bbl in the last five years.

The government's push for public-private partnerships (PPPs) will be key to increasing private sectorinvestment in infrastructure and this is critical for the country's future economic development, given thenew oil price environment.

- We forecast gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) to average 4.6% over the next five years, compared tothe 7.9% in the last five years. This difference reflects our more moderate construction industry growthforecast in the short-to-medium term.

- Oman's transport sector has been experiencing significant expansion and this is set to continue -following the government announcement in October 2013 the country will spend over USD50bn ininfrastructure projects over the next 15 years. From this budget, USD20bn is earmarked for the transportsector - including Oman National Railway - which is where we see the strongest pipeline of projects.Particular opportunities lie in the development of the country's road and railway network.

- The Omani government's anti-corruption campaign has been extensive by Gulf standards and willcontinue in the years ahead. These efforts will strengthen the sultanate's business environment, attractingprivate investment in the construction industry.

Table Of Contents

Oman Infrastructure Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Oman 2015-2021) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Oman 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Oman 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Key Projects: Transport 25
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 33
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 35
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 39
Industry Risk/Reward Index 41
Oman Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 41
Rewards 41
Risks 42
MENA Infrastructure RRI: Oil Prices And Security Remain Key Risks 43
Table: MENA RRI 48
Competitive Landscape 49
Table: EQS Data 49
Company Profile 51
Galfar Engineering And Contracting SAOG 51
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sector-Specific Methodology 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Sector-Specific Methodology 60
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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