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Ghana, Kenya & Nigeria Information Technology Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 108 pages

BMI View: IT markets in Ghana, Kenya and Nigeria all experienced a sharp downturn in 2014 and 2015 as a result of the downturn in commodity and oil markets, and general increase in negative sentiment towards emerging markets. This served as a reality check on optimism regarding their economic growth trajectory and IT markets as a lack of structural and institutional was laid bare. This resulted in a significant reassessment of both historical data and our growth forecast for all three IT markets in the Q116 update, with all three markets receiving significant downgrades and classified as long-term rather than medium term opportunities for vendors. The outlook is however by no means uniform, with Nigeria expected to underperform due to a reliance on oil exports that will be a drag throughout the forecast period. In contrast Kenya has a more diversified base of economic activity as well as a stronger policy environment that we believe positions it to be the long-term outperformer in terms of IT market and sector development.

Latest Updates And Developments

-Ghana Total IT Market Sales: GHS714mn in 2016 to GHS1.1bn in 2019, a CAGR of +16.8% in local currency terms. Ghana is the poorest of the three markets in this report, and has the smallest IT market, but vendors should be able to capitalise on stronger economic performance in the later years of our forecast. Kenya Total IT Market Sales: KES64.1bn in 2016 to KES95.3bn in 2019, a CAGR of +12.4% in local currency terms. Kenya is the most developed IT market and has the brightest medium and long term outlook due to lower level of exposure to commodities market and greater modernisation momentum that should result in broader based economic growth. Nigeria Total IT Market Sales: NGN253.6bn in 2016 to NGN381.0n in 2019, a CAGR of +11.9% in local currency terms. Weakest growth outlook in US dollar terms as oil price slump forecast to remain a drag on domestic purchasing power over the medium term, while enterprise market also has depressed outlook.

Table Of Contents

Ghana, Kenya and Nigeria Information Technology Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
IT SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Ghana 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ghana 2012-2019) 17
Kenya 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2019) 23
Nigeria 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (Nigeria 2012-2019) 29
Internet Technology Risk/Reward Index 30
Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Index 30
Table: MEA IT Risk/Reward Index - Q116 33
Market Overview 34
Ghana 34
Hardware 34
Software 37
Services 39
Kenya 42
Hardware 42
Software 46
Services 51
Nigeria 56
Hardware 56
Software 60
Services 64
Industry Trends And Developments 69
Ghana 69
Kenya 72
Nigeria 75
Regulatory Development 78
Ghana 78
Table: NITA 78
Recent Developments 79
Kenya 80
Table: KICTA 80
Table: Kenya - 2013 ICT Masterplan Strategic Goals 81
Recent Developments 81
Nigeria 83
Table: NITDA 83
Recent Developments 83
Competitive Landscape 86
Ghana 86
Table: Intercom Programming and Manufacturing Company (IPMC) 86
Table: Persol Systems Limited 87
Table: RLG Communications 88
Kenya 89
Table: Craft Silicon 89
Table: IBM 89
Table: Seven Seas Technology (SST) 91
Nigeria 92
Table: Computer Warehouse Group (CWG) 92
Table: Systemspecs 94
Table: Zinox Technologies 95
Regional Overview 96
Middle East And Africa 96
Demographic Forecast 99
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ghana 1990-2025) 100
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ghana 1990-2025) 100
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ghana 1990-2025) 101
Table: Population By Age Group (Ghana 1990-2025) 101
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ghana 1990-2025) 102
Methodology 104
Industry Forecast Methodology 104
Sources 106
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 106
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators 107
Table: Weighting Of Components 108

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