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Poland Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Key BMI Forecasts

- Wheat production growth to 2019/20: -4.7% to 11.1mn tonnes. Negative output growth is attributableto high base effects and low prices. We nevertheless expect to see improvements in yields.

- Pork consumption growth to 2020: 3.6% to 1.8mn tonnes. As a staple of the Polish diet, demand forpork is quite inelastic, but rising incomes and low prices early in the forecast period will support modestdemand growth.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 3.9%, up from 3.5% in 2015.

- 2016 consumer price inflation (ave): 0.6% y-o-y, up from -0.4% in 2015.

Table Of Contents

Poland Agribusiness Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Grains Outlook 11
Table: Poland - Wheat Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Poland - Corn Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Poland - Barley Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Poland 2012-2020) 14
Table: Corn Production (Poland 2012-2020) 15
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Poland 2012-2020) 15
Dairy Outlook 16
Table: Poland - Milk Production and Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Poland - Butter Production and Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Poland - Cheese Production and Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 18
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Poland 2012-2020) 19
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Poland 2012-2020) 20
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Poland 2012-2020) 20
Livestock Outlook 21
Table: Poland - Poultry Production and Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Poland - Pork Production and Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Poland - Beef Production and Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Risks To Outlook 23
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Poland 2012-2020) 25
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Poland 2012-2020) 25
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Poland 2012-2020) 25
Sugar Outlook 26
Table: Poland - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 26
Table: Risks To Outlook 27
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Poland 2012-2020) 28
Commodities Price Analysis 29
Global Commodities Strategy 29
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 29
Upstream Analysis 31
Europe GM Outlook 31
Europe Machinery Outlook 37
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 41
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 43
Downstream Analysis 50
Food 50
Latest Updates 50
Regional Overview 54
Competitive Landscape 60
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 60
Demographic Forecast 61
Demographic Outlook 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 64
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sector-Specific Methodology 67

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