Serbia Consumer Electronics Industry Update Quarter 2 2012

$ 1 088 - March 2013 - by Business Monitor International - 52

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BMI View: We project Serbian consumer electronics spending will grow by about 8% in US dollar terms in
2013 to US$1.2bn. Macroeconomic headwinds originating from the eurozone mean that consumer spending
is unlikely to return to pre-2008 growth levels for many years. Serbia is one of the poorest markets in
Central and Eastern Europe. Stubbornly high unemployment will constrain household spending in the short
term, while elevated inflation will impinge on real purchasing power. However, economic growth, rising
disposable income and the development of organised retail infrastructure are forecast to drive longer-term
growth. Sales of flat-screen TV sets and feature-rich notebook computers will continue to benefit from
falling prices and more aggressive vendor and distributor promotion. Meanwhile smartphones provided a
bright spot for retailers in 2012, accounting for around 50% of sales on leading networks in the final
quarter of the year.
- Computer Hardware Sales: US$445mn in 2012 to US$493mn in 2013; +11% in US dollar terms.
Forecast in US dollar terms upwardly revised due to macroeconomic factors, and tablet sales, which
should provide a growth area as prices fall.
- AV Sales: US$427mn in 2012 to US$444mn in 2013; +4% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar
terms unchanged. Flat-screen TV sets will be the main growth driver as Serbia continues its migration to
digital broadcasting.

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