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Ghana Mining Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 46 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Ghana's mining sector will remain heavily reliant on gold production and, as such, will facesevere headwinds over the next few years as prices of the commodity come under increasing pressureglobally.

Latest Developments & Structural Trends

- Ghana's mining sector growth will be affected by a lack of diversity, as the country's gold sector accountsfor about 90.0% of total mineral exports. An ongoing decline in global prices will therefore pose a majorthreat to the growth of Ghana's mining sector going forwards, with prices forecast to average USD1,045/USD during 2016-20120. Falling prices will put increased pressure on the profit margins of the country'sgold miners, with many firms, including market leader Newmont Mining, moving to cut expenditure inthe face of falling revenues. Despite gold price weakness, the country's mining sector will remain animportant component of Ghana's economy through the next few years.

- Gold mining firm Rangold Resources has ended a contract for redeveloping AngloGold Ashanti'sObuasi gold mine in Ghana. The move follows efforts by both the companies to improve the project'sreturns. The companies had announced a deal in September 2015 to form a joint venture to redevelop andoperate the mine. Randgold had agreed to lead and fund a development plan designed to rebuild theoperation. As such, we revised our gold production forecast for Ghana down from -1.6% to -2.5% and0.5% to -1.0% for 2016 and 2017, respectively.

Table Of Contents

Ghana Mining Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Ghana Mining Industry Value 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Ghana Gold: Price Weakness To Subdue Growth 10
Latest Developments 10
Table: Ghana - Gold Production and Growth 10
Structural Trends 10
Government Shows No Sign of Easing Taxes 13
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 16
Ghana - Risk/Reward Index 16
Rewards 16
Industry Rewards 16
Country Rewards 16
Risks 16
Industry Risks 16
Country Risks 17
Regional Overview 17
Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector 22
Regulatory Development 24
Trade and Investment Risk Analysis 24
Commodities Forecast 26
Commodities Outlook 26
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 26
Competitive Landscape 27
Table: Africa - Financial Data, 2014 28
Company Profile 29
Newmont Mining 29
Table: Newmont Mining - Key Financial Data 33
Global Company Strategy - AngloGold Ashanti - Q2 2016 35
Overview 36
Strategy 36
Risks 37
Latest Results 38
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data 38
Regional Overview 39
Africa: Major Risks Remain 39
Key Takeaways 39
Latest Revisions 40
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index 42
Methodology 43
Industry Forecast Methodology 43
Sources 44
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 45
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 46

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