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Emerging Trends Shaping the Future of Middle East and North Africa

  • October 2013
  • 75 pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
Report ID: 1853242

Summary

Table of Contents

Implications on Business, Culture, and Personal Lives

The research service sets the stage for visionary thinking by identifying and analyzing various Mega Trends in the Middle East and North Africa that will impact and shape the region’s economy, society, and culture. For the purpose of this study, Mega Trends are categorized as urbanization, society, economy, technology, infrastructure, business, health and wellness, political shifts, and regional-specific trends. This presentation would also highlight examples of projects, companies, and technologies that will invade and change the business ecosystem in the region in the next decade. It also provides an analysis of macro-to-micro implications of the Mega Trends on various industries in driving convergence of competition.

Definition of Mega Trends

What are Mega Trends?
Mega Trends are transformative, global forces that define the future world with their far reaching impacts on businesses, societies, economies, cultures, and personal lives.

Why do Mega Trends matter?
• Mega Trends have diverse meanings and impacts for different industries, companies, and individuals. An analysis of these Mega Trends and their implications forms an important component of a company’s future strategy, development, and innovation process, and impacts product and technology planning.
• The following research service sets the stage for visionary thinking by identifying the most important global Mega Trends that will significantly impact urban logistics and the implications of these Mega Trends for transforming society, markets, and cultures.

Executive Summary—Key Findings

1. By 2025, more than 90% of the total population in four MENA countries are expected to live in urban areas: Bahrain (X%), Kuwait (X%), Lebanon (X%), and Qatar (X%).
2. In 2020, cities such as Cairo (Egypt) will account for more than 77% of the country’s GDP. Similarly, other cities like Abu Dhabi (UAE) and Tehran (Iran) is expected to account for around X% and X% to their respective country’s GDP by 2020.
3. By 2025, the Gen Y population (people aged between X– years) in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) will account for over one-third of the region’s total population.
4. The contribution from oil exports to the GDP for many leading oil exporters of the MENA region is expected to decline significantly by 2020.
5. In 2020, the MENA region will be linked through Xmillion connected devices, impacting business models and personal lives in a way that is unforeseeable today.
6. The demand for healthcare in the MENA region is expected to demonstrate double digit growth, giving rise to multiple investment opportunities.
7. The Middle East, withX% dependency on food imports, is one of the most vulnerable regions in the world pertaining to food security. Arab countries are the largest importers of cereal in the world.

Executive Summary—Connected MENA

MENA is expected to be linked through X million connected devices by 2020.
• X connected devices for every user by 2020
• X Million internet users by 2020
• X Million 4G–LTE subscriptions in MENA by 2020
• X Gigabytes per capita monthly data consumption in countries like KSA, Qatar and UAE by 2020

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