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  4. > China Power Report Q2 2016

China Power Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- In terms of fuel mix, conventional thermal sources play a key role and are expected to continue todominate electricity generation as many projects under construction or planned will use coal or gas, andas Chinese efforts in prospecting and exploiting conventional oil and gas resources are set to increase.While other sources of power will play increasingly important roles, China will remain reliant on coal forits power generation over the next decade.

- China's power mix continues to evolve, in line with the slowdown in China's economy - which is curbingpower consumption - and the ongoing efforts by the Chinese government to tackle pollution, which isresulting in reduced coal consumption. This, coupled with the gain in prominence of cleaner fuels, suchas gas, nuclear power and renewable energy, is having a significant impact on China's power sector. Overour forecast period, we expect coal-fired power generation to register just a 2% increase from 2015 to2025, while other fuels will post much higher growth levels - albeit from a lower base. Natural gas andnuclear power will both increase by over 300% and non-hydro renewables will more than double. Oilpower will decline as it is gradually phased out of the power mix over the next decade.

- The Chinese government's mandate and environmental regulations will drive consolidation in thecountry's coal industry over the coming years, 80% of which were loss-making in 2015. On January 212016, China announced the allocation of 30bn Chinese Yuan (USD4.56bn) in funds over the next threeyears to support the closure of 4,300 small and inefficient coal mines to reduce annual productioncapacity by 700mn tonnes (mnt). This builds forth on the government's plan to redeploy about 1mnworkers affected in the consolidation efforts. The newly announced measures, aimed to shrink oversupplyand environmental pollution, follows China's decision last month to halt the approval of new coal minesuntil at least 2019.

Table Of Contents

China Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (China 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 12
China Snapshot 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (China 2015-2019) 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (China 2020-2025) 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 12
China Power Forecast Scenario 13
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Thermal Generation And Thermal Generating Capacity 14
Nuclear Generation And Nuclear Generating Capacity 17
Hydropower Generation and Hydropower Generating Capacity 19
Renewables Generation And Renewables Generating Capacity 20
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2019) 22
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (China 2020-2025) 23
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2019) 24
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (China 2020-2025) 25
Electricity Consumption 25
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2019) 26
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (China 2020-2025) 26
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 26
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2019) 28
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (China 2020-2025) 28
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2019) 29
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (China 2020-2025) 29
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
Asia Power Risk/Reward Index 30
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 34
China Power Risk/Reward Index 35
Rewards 35
Risks 35
Market Overview 37
Key Policies And Market Structure 37
Regulation And Competition 37
Sustainable Energy Policies 39
Pricing 42
China Power Projects Database 44
Table: China - Top 10 Power Projects By Capacity 44
Competitive Landscape 47
Huaneng Power International 47
China Huaneng Group 48
China Datang Corporation 48
China Huadian Corporation 48
China Guodian Corporation 49
China Power Investment Corporation 49
China Southern Power Grid 50
State Grid Corporation 50
Company Profile 51
Huaneng Power International 51
Regional Overview 53
Asia Power Regional Overview 53
Table: China Power Snapshot 56
Glossary 58
Table: Glossary Of Terms 58
Methodology 59
Methodology And Sources 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sources 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 64

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