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Kazakhstan Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Kazakhstan is facing strong economic headwinds from falling oil prices and a devaluingcurrency. Nevertheless, infrastructure investment is viewed as part of the long-term plan to diversify theeconomy and holds significant long-term potential, especially in the rail and energy industries. Thegovernment is also pledging significant funds towards residential construction for 2016-2020.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Growth in the construction industry will average 5.8% over our 10-year forecast to 2025, with thepossibility for this to improve towards the end of this period.- President Nazarbayev announced USD5bn in additional funding from the SWF and pension fund, withmuch of it allocated to affordable housing construction.

- Residential building starts grew 18.9% y-o-y in 2015, while investment in house building in tenge termsgrew 17.2% in 2015, pointing to the fact that economic headwinds are yet to filter down through theeconomy, while government spending provides buoyancy.

- Having downgraded our forecasts for the Kazakh tenge and oil price in 2016, we have also downgradedour forecast for real GDP growth to 1.0% from 1.6% previously.

Table Of Contents

Kazakhstan Infrastructure Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2015-2021) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Kazakhstan) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Kazakhstan 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 24
Industry Forecast Scenario 24
Latest updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Kazakhstan: Key Transport Projects 31
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 32
Industry Forecast Scenario 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Top Five Major Kazakh Projects - Energy and Utilities 40
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview 41
Industry Forecast Scenario 41
Latest Updates 41
Structural Trends 41
Table: Top Five Major Kazakh Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 47
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 48
Kazakhstan - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 48
Rewards 48
Risks 49
Europe - CEE Infrastructure RRI: Heightened Risks Belie Growing Rewards 50
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 55
Market Overview 56
Competitive Landscape 56
Company Profile 59
KazMunayGas 59
Methodology 63
Industry Forecast Methodology 63
Sector-Specific Methodology 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Sector-Specific Methodology 69
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 70

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