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Equatorial Guinea Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 93 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Equatorial Guinea's oil output will see smaller decline rates over the coming years on the backof several smaller projects. However, maturing fields and lack of new significant discoveries will continueto push the production volumes to the downside over our entire forecast period. Ophir's Fortuna FLNGproject will be the most important upside to the country's gas production and net exports. While thecompany targets a FID by mid-2016, we highlight risks to the project due to slowing global demand forLNG and the large wave of LNG projects coming online within the coming years.

Key Trends And Developments

-Equatorial Guinea is forecast to see its oil and gas reserves stagnate or increase slightly over our forecastperiod to 2025 owing to maturing fields and lack of new significant discoveries. There is upsidepotential coming from a string of recent exploration activities offshore, as well as the new reduced-oilprice environment attracting investors to lower-risk and lower-cost ventures such as Equatorial Guinea.This is reflected in our slightly improved oil reserves outlook this quarter for the coming years.

Table Of Contents

Equatorial Guinea Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Equatorial Guinea 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 16
Table: Equatorial Guinea Major Upstream Projects 16
Upstream Production - Oil 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Oil Production (Equatorial Guinea 2014-2019) 21
Table: Oil Production (Equatorial Guinea 2020-2025) 21
Upstream Production - Gas 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Gas Production (Equatorial Guinea 2014-2019) 25
Table: Gas Production (Equatorial Guinea 2020-2025) 25
Refining 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Refined Fuels Consumption 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Equatorial Guinea 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Equatorial Guinea 2020-2025) 29
Gas Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Gas Consumption (Equatorial Guinea 2014-2019) 31
Table: Gas Consumption (Equatorial Guinea 2020-2025) 31
Trade - Oil 32
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Equatorial Guinea 2014-2020) 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Equatorial Guinea 2020-2025) 34
Refined Products Trade Forecasts 34
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Equatorial Guinea 2014-2019) 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Equatorial Guinea 2020-2025) 36
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Gas Net Exports (Equatorial Guinea 2014-2019) 43
Table: Gas Net Exports (Equatorial Guinea 2020-2025) 43
Industry Risk Reward Index 44
Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Table: BMI Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 47
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 47
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 50
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 50
Equatorial Guinea Risk/Reward Index 52
Equatorial Guinea Upstream Index - Overview 52
Equatorial Guinea Downstream Index - Overview 52
Market Overview 53
Equatorial Guinea Energy Market Overview 53
Regulatory Structure 53
Fiscal Regime 54
Table: Equatorial Guinea - Upstream Tax Regime 54
Licensing Regime 55
Table: Equatorial Guinea - Contracts And Licensing Regime 55
Licensing Rounds 55
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 57
Oil Refineries 57
Table: Downstream Projects 57
Oil Storage Facilities 57
Oil Terminals And Ports 58
LNG Terminals 58
Table: Equatorial Guinea LNG Infrastructure 58
Oil And Gas Pipelines 58
Competitive Landscape 59
Competitive Landscape Summary 59
Table: Key Players - Equatorial Guinea Energy Sector 60
Company Profile 61
GEPetrol 61
ExxonMobil 65
Marathon Oil 68
Other Summaries 71
Regional Overview 77
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 77
Table: Africa Oil and Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 85
Glossary 86
Table: Glossary Of Terms 86
Methodology 88
Industry Forecast Methodology 88
Source 90
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 90
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 92
Table: Weighting 93

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