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Iran Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 103 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Gas production and consumption will see a substantial ramp-up in 2016 due to new phases ofSouth Pars increasing gas availability. The lifting of sanctions in January 2016 will allow for oilproduction to increase by around 600,000b/d by year-end. New refining capacity will eradicate net fuelsimports from 2017.We highlight the following trends and developments in Iran's oil and gas sector:

-Sanctions were lifted on January 16 2016, restarting financial and economic connections with non-UScountries

-In our view Iran will be able to increase oil production to up to 600,000b/d, adding an average of400,000b/d over 2016

-Total has reportedly agreed a 150,000-200,000b/d oil export agreement with Iran, though the timeframeremains unclear

Table Of Contents

Iran Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Iran 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
OIl and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Upstream Projects 14
Table: New Projects Expected To Be Offered Post-Sanctions 14
Table: Iran Major Upstream Projects 14
Upstream Production - Oil 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: New Oil Projects On Offer 22
Table: Oil Production (Iran 2014-2019) 23
Table: Oil Production (Iran 2020-2025) 23
Upstream Production - Gas 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: South Pars Project Phases 26
Table: Gas Projects Proposed Post Sanctions 26
Table: Gas Production (Iran 2014-2019) 27
Table: Gas Production (Iran 2020-2025) 28
Refining 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Major Iranian Refineries 30
Table: Proposed Greenfield Refineries 33
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Iran 2014-2019) 34
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Iran 2020-2025) 34
Refined Fuels Consumption 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Iran 2014-2019) 37
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Iran 2020-2025) 37
Gas Consumption 38
Latest Updates 38
Structural Trends 38
Table: Gas Consumption (Iran 2014-2019) 40
Table: Gas Consumption (Iran 2020-2025) 40
Trade - Oil 41
Crude Trade Forecasts 41
Latest Updates 41
Structural Trends 41
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Iran 2014-2020) 43
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Iran 2020-2025) 43
Refined Fuels Trade Forecasts 43
Latest Updates 43
Structural Trends 43
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Iran 2014-2019) 45
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Iran 2020-2025) 45
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 46
Latest Updates 46
Structural Trends 46
Table: Gas Net Exports (Iran 2014-2019) 49
Table: Gas Net Exports (Iran 2020-2025) 50
Industry Risk/Reward Index 51
Middle East Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 51
Table: BMI's Middle East Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index (RRI) 51
Index Resilient In Lower Price Environment 52
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 52
Limited Opportunities Downstream 54
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 54
Iran - Risk/Reward Index 56
Iran - Overview 56
Iran Upstream Index - Rewards 56
Iran Upstream Index - Risks 57
Iran Downstream Index - Overview 57
Market Overview 58
Iran Energy Market Overview 58
Overview 58
Table: Key Upstream Operators - Iran Oil and Gas Sector 58
Table: Key Downstream Operators - Iran Energy Sector 58
Fiscal Regime 59
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 61
Oil Refineries 61
Table: Refineries In Iran 61
Service Stations 62
Oil Storage Facilities 62
Oil Terminals/Ports 62
Oil Pipelines 63
Gas Pipelines 63
Table: Major Proposed Pipelines 64
Gas Storage Facilities 64
Table: Operation, Under Construction and Planned Gas Storage 64
Competitive Landscape 65
Competitive Landscape Summary 65
Table: Key Players - Iranian Oil and Gas Sector 67
Company Profile 68
CNPC 68
NIOC 71
NIORDC 76
OVL 80
Other Summaries 83
Regional Overview 86
Middle East Oil And Gas Regional Overview 86
Oil Production: Weak Prices Have Limited Impact On Growth 86
Oil Consumption: Gradual Subsidy Reform To Temper Demand Growth 88
Refining Capacity: 2mn b/d Of New Capacity By 2020 90
Gas Production: Low Oil Prices Hinder Gas Progress 91
Gas Consumption: Switch To Gas Power Will Boost Demand 93
Table: Middle East - Oil And Gas Production, Refining Capacity And Trade (2013-2024) 94
Glossary 96
Table: Glossary Of Terms 96
Methodology 98
Industry Forecast Methodology 98
Source 100
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 100
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 102
Table: Weighting 103

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