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Saudi Arabia Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 97 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Saudi Arabia will maintain its crude production broadly flat in 2016. However, longer-termproduction will rise, to answer growing demand from the domestic power and downstream sectors. Thekingdom is increasingly targeting its exploration and development spending towards its non-associated gasresources. Saudi Arabia has vast unconventional gas resources, but the pace of production will be slowedby low state-set gas prices and limited foreign participation in the sector. The consumption outlook ispositive for both oil and gas. However, we have revised down our refined fuels consumption forecasts inresponse to an accelerated subsidy reform programme.

Latest Updates & Key Trends

- Saudi output will remain broadly flat in 2016, before resuming a gentle upward trend from 2017.

- However, we forecast exports to remain flat as new refining capacity is brought online, absorbingforecast production growth.

- In order to support exports, the kingdom has looked to increase the role of gas in the domestic power andindustrial sectors. However, domestic gas consumption remains heavily capped due to limited productiongrowth.

- In spite of Saudi Arabia's heavy focus on unconventional and onshore non-associated gas resources,we expect slow progress in developing these prospects. Domestic production will likely remaininsufficient to meet unrestrained demand.

- Despite inadequate domestic supply, proposals to import LNG will face major roadblocks, due toconcerns over the loss of the kingdom's energy self sufficient status, low domestic gas prices and risks todomestic gas development.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Upstream Projects 14
Table: Upstream Project Database 14
Upstream Production - Oil 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Oil Production (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 18
Table: Oil Production (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 18
Upstream Production - Gas 19
Latest Updates 19
Structural Trends 19
Table: Gas Production (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 22
Table: Gas Production (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 22
Refining 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 26
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 26
Refined Fuels Consumption 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Saudi Arabia Fuel Price Reform, December 2015 30
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 31
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 31
Gas Consumption 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Gas Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 34
Table: Gas Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 34
Trade - Oil 35
Crude Oil 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Saudi Arabia 2014-2020) 39
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 39
Refined Fuels 39
Latest Updates 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 40
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 41
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 42
Structural Trends 42
Industry Risk Reward Index 43
Middle East - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Middle East Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 43
Upstream: Index Resilient In Lower Price Environment 44
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Downstream: Limited Opportunities 46
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 46
Saudi Arabia - Risk/Reward Index 49
Market Overview 50
Saudi Arabia Energy Market Overview 50
Regulatory Overview 50
Licensing Regime 50
Fiscal Regime 50
Table: Saudi Arabia PCA Main Fiscal Terms 50
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 51
Oil Refineries 51
Table: Saudi Arabia Oil Refineries 51
Oil Terminals/Ports 51
Oil Pipelines 52
Gas Pipelines 53
Competitive Landscape 54
Competitive Landscape Summary 54
Table: Key Players In Saudi Arabia's Oil and Gas Sector 55
Company Profile 56
Chevron 56
ExxonMobil Saudi Arabia 59
Saudi Aramco 62
Shell Saudi Arabia 74
Other Summaries 77
Regional Overview 80
Middle East Oil And Gas Regional Overview 80
Oil Production: Weak Prices Have Limited Impact On Growth 80
Oil Consumption: Gradual Subsidy Reform To Temper Demand Growth 82
Refining Capacity: 2mn b/d Of New Capacity By 2020 84
Gas Production: Low Oil Prices Hinder Gas Progress 85
Gas Consumption: Switch To Gas Power Will Boost Demand 87
Table: Middle East - Oil And Gas Production, Refining Capacity And Trade (2013-2024) 88
Glossary 90
Table: Glossary Of Terms 90
Methodology 92
Industry Forecast Methodology 92
Source 94
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 94
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 96
Table: Weighting 97

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