South Africa Oil and Gas Industry Update Quarter 2 2012
$ 1 088
- March 2013
- by Business Monitor International
- 88
Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View: Rumours abound that the traditional refinery operators in South Africa could abandon the
country in the face of huge investment in capacity to meet higher fuel specifications. Plans by the country to
build a large new refinery are also causing concern, so the outlook for the downstream segment is
uncertain. The state looks likely to allow drilling for shale gas to proceed, unlocking considerable upstream
potential - although local resistance is set to continue.
The main trends and developments in South Africa's oil & gas sector are:
In September 2012, South Africa's Cabinet has announced the end of a temporary ban on fraccing, which
had been in place since April 2011. Bundu Oil & Gas, Chesapeake Energy, Chevron, Falcon Oil & Gas,
Sasol, Shell and Statoil are among the players actively pursuing the development of shale gas in South
Africa. The government's decision will move the process forward, with public consultations the next step in
an ongoing process to develop the country's unconventional gas reserves. Environmental groups have
responded to the government's decision by confirming they will file a lawsuit to prevent any actual
production of shale gas, but Shell has said that following the government's latest decision first gas from
shale would be possible by 2015.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Oil & Gas Reserves 10
Table: South Africa Proven Oil & Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2011-2016 10
Table: South Africa Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2017-2022 11
Oil Supply & Demand 15
Table: South Africa Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2011-2016 15
Table: South Africa Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2017-2022 16
Gas Supply & Demand 17
Table: South Africa Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2011-2016 17
Table: South Africa Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2017-2022 18
Refining And Oil Products Trade 21
Table: South Africa Refining - Production and Consumption, 2011-2016 21
Table: South Africa Refining - Production and Consumption, 2017-2022 21
Risks To Outlook 22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23
South Africa Risk Reward Ratings 23
Africa - Risk/Reward Ratings 24
Table: Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Ratings, Scores out of 100 25
Table: Africa Upstream R/R Ratings, Scores out of 100 26
Table: Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings, Scores out of 100 29
Table: Proposed And Planned Refineries In Africa 30
Market Overview 32
South Africa Energy Market Overview 32
Table: South Africa - Upstream Projects Database 33
Overview/State Role 33
Licensing And Regulation 33
Government Policy 34
International Energy Relations 36
Oil & Gas Infrastructure 36
Oil Refineries 36
Table: Refineries In South Africa 37
Refineries In Durban 38
Other Refineries 38
Service Stations 41
Oil Storage Facilities 41
Oil Terminals/ Ports 41
Oil Pipelines 41
Synthetic Fuels Plants 41
Table: Synthetic Fuels Plants In South Africa 42
LNG Terminals 42
Gas Pipelines 44
Competitive Landscape 45
Table: Key Players In South African Oil And Gas Sectors 46
Table: Key Upstream Player 46
Table: Key Downstream Players 46
Company Profile 47
Petro SA 47
Operational Data 50
Sasol 51
Other Companies - Summary 55
Regional Overview 60
Regional Energy Overview 60
Sub-Salt Expectations 60
Re-targeting Oil Flows 61
East African Gas Boom 62
Fuelling Development: The Downstream Race 64
Post-Revolutionary Blues 65
Global Industry Overview 67
Global Energy Market Overview 67
Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts & Bloomberg Analyst Consensus, Average Price (US$/bbl) 68
Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts 74
Appendix 76
Africa - Regional Appendix 76
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d) 76
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 76
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d) 77
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 78
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 ('000b/d) 78
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 79
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 (bcm) 80
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 80
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 (bcm) 81
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 81
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 (bcm) 82
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 83
Glossary 84
Table: Glossary Of Terms 84
Methodology 86
Energy Industry 87
Cross checks 87
Sources 88
Oil and Gas Energy in South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1992 To 2021
By Business Monitor International
Source: BMI
- Industries : Oil and Gas Energy
- Countries : South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1990 To 2021
By Business Monitor International
Source: BMI
- Industries : Oil and Gas Energy
- Countries : United States, South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1995 To 2021
By Business Monitor International
Source: BMI
- Industries : Oil and Gas Energy
- Countries : Singapore, South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1995 To 2021
By Business Monitor International
Source: BMI
- Industries : Oil and Gas Energy
- Countries : South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2010 To 2021
By Business Monitor International
Source: BMI
- Industries : Oil and Gas Energy
- Countries : South Africa