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  4. > Brazil Power Report Q2 2016

Brazil Power Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Brazilian electricity market will offer several business opportunities to project developersand power sector investors over the coming quarters, despite a worsening of the country's economicrecession in 2016. The renewables and hydropower sectors will present the biggest upside to internationalinvestors in terms of scale, but we see opportunities also in power transmission and distribution. That said,we maintain that high interest rates and continued currency weakness, coupled with a corruptioninvestigation into state-run energy companies, will keep the power sector's growth below its full potential.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-Brazil current macroeconomic malaise will increase costs for power project developers through higherinterest rates, while persistent currency weakness will inflate import costs. These factors - coupled withan ongoing investigation on state-run utility Eletrobras, which could result in delays and assetimpairments - are tempering our growth outlook for power capacity and generation in Brazil over thecoming decade. As such, we forecast growth in the Brazilian power sector to be significant, but below thegovernment's official targets.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Brazil 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Brazil Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Brazil 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Brazil 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Brazil Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Table: Results Of Latest Power Auctions For Gas-Fired Projects 16
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 23
Table: Solar and Wind Capacity Registered And Contracted In Recent And Upcoming Auctions 24
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 27
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2020-2025) 27
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 28
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2020-2025) 29
Electricity Consumption 30
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 31
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2020-2025) 32
Transmission and Distribution 32
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 35
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2020-2025) 35
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 35
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2020-2025) 35
Industry Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Macri's Planned Power Policy Reforms 41
Table: Latin America Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100 41
Brazil Power Risk/Reward Index 42
Rewards 42
Risks 43
Market Overview 44
Key Policies And Market Structure 44
Regulation And Competition 44
Sustainable Energy Policies 45
Pricing 45
Table: Tariff Surcharges Before And After Reduction 46
Brazil Power Projects Database 48
Competitive Landscape 50
Eletrobras 50
Tractebel Energia 52
Company Profile 54
Eletrobrás 54
Regional Overview 59
Latin America Power: Key Themes For 2016 59
Glossary 65
Table: Glossary Of Terms 65
Methodology 66
Methodology And Sources 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sources 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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