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  4. > Chile Power Report Q2 2016

Chile Power Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We maintain our positive outlook for Chile's power market, premised on its stable businessenvironment and investor-friendly regulations, an upbeat macroeconomic prospect and robust growth inpower consumption. The government's use of energy auctions for the regulated market, coupled with energydemand from miners located far from the main power network, will create long-term business opportunitiesfor power generators. Meanwhile, the need to expand Chile's power grid will drive demand for transmissioninfrastructure.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- In December 2015, Chile's national oil company (NOC) ENAP signed an agreement with Japan's Mitsuifor the development of two combined-cycle gas-fired thermal power plants, the 760MW Luz Minera andthe 510MW Nueva Era plants. The projects - which reportedly have a cumulative investment value ofalmost USD1.5bn - are planned to be built in northern and central Chile, respectively, receiving feedstockfrom the Quintero and Mejillones liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminals. ENAP plans to bid thetwo gas-fired projects in the upcoming auction for procuring power for Chile's regulated market,scheduled for May 2016.

- In January 2016, a bill allowing ENAP to access the power generation sector - by holding a stake of up to66% in power generation projects, under joint ventures (JVs) with private companies - received thedefinitive approval by the Chilean parliament. The government is committed to making ENAP a newpillar of Chile's electricity market, as it hopes that participation of the NOC in the production ofelectricity from natural gas will drive down the country's electricity prices.

- These developments support our upbeat growth outlook for gas-fired power generation in Chile over thenext 10 years. Our forecast is also premised on progress in the development of several other gas-firedpower plants in the country, low international LNG prices due to a global glut and the government'scommitment to increasing the role of gas in Chile's energy matrix.

Table Of Contents

Chile Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Chile 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Chile Snaphot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Chile 2015-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Chile 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Chile Forecast Scenario 12
Positive Outlook For Investment And Growth 12
Coal Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Natural Gas Generation And Capacity Forecast 15
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 17
Table: Chile's Major Hydropower Project Pipeline 19
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 20
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 22
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019) 22
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025) 22
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019) 23
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025) 24
Electricity Consumption 24
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019) 25
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025) 25
Transmission and Distribution 25
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019) 29
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025) 29
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
Industry Risk Reward Index 30
Table: Macri's Planned Power Policy Reforms 35
Table: Latin America Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100 35
Chile Power Risk/Reward Index 36
Rewards 36
Risks 37
Market Overview 38
Key Policies And Market Structure 38
Regulation And Competition 38
Sustainable Energy Policies 40
Pricing 40
Chile Power Projects Database 41
Competitive Landscape 44
Transelec 44
Enersis 45
ENAP 45
Engie 46
AES 46
Colbún 47
Pacific Hydro 47
Company Profile 48
Enersis 48
Regional Overview 51
Latin America Power: Key Themes For 2016 51
Glossary 57
Table: Glossary Of Terms 57
Methodology 58
Methodology And Sources 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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