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Egypt Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 135 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Pledged investment in upstream developments and LNG imports will be crucial to meeting gasdemand over the next five years, while the Zohr discovery could solve Egypt's gas challenges in the longterm. Policy slippage with subsidy reform and payment schedules to oil and gas companies, pose the largestrisk to slowing the positive momentum.

We highlight the following trends and developments in Egypt's oil and gas sector:

- Eni successfully completed the first appraisal well on the Zohr field in March 2016, and is planning afurther three wells in the appraisal programme.

- Oil production grew marginally at 1% to 685,000b/d in 2015, though has been on a down trend sinceAugust 2015.

- Gas production fell 9.3% in 2015 to 44.3bcm, though we expect a recovery in output in 2017

.- BP brought forward the start date of the West Nile Delta project six months to early 2017.

- Refined fuels demand increased 3%, despite subsidy reforms in 2014. Gasoline and diesel saw 10% and14% growth y-o-y, respectively.

- Fuel subsidies will only be reduced 30% by 2020, rather than fully normalised with global pricespreviously planned. This may support stronger long-term consumption.

- Technip will be undertaking a modernisation programme at the Assuit refinery and a 60,000b/dexpansion at the MIDOR refinery, with reported support from Italy.

Table Of Contents

Egypt Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Egypt 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Table: Wellhead Gas Prices 11
Upstream Projects 12
Table: Key Upstream Oil And Gas Projects In Egypt 12
Upstream Production - Oil 16
Table: Oil Production (Egypt 2014-2019) 18
Table: Oil Production (Egypt 2020-2025) 18
Upstream Production - Gas 19
Latest Updates 19
Table: Gas Production (Egypt 2014-2019) 21
Table: Gas Production (Egypt 2020-2025) 22
Refining 23
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Egypt 2014-2019) 26
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Egypt 2020-2025) 26
Refined Fuels Consumption 27
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Egypt 2020-2025) 30
Gas Consumption 31
Table: New Natural Gas Subsidies For Grid Connected Users 32
Table: Gas Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019) 33
Table: Gas Consumption (Egypt 2020-2025) 33
Trade - Oil 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Egypt 2014-2020) 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Egypt 2020-2025) 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Egypt 2014-2019) 37
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Egypt 2020-2025) 37
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Egypt 2014-2019) 38
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Egypt 2020-2025) 38
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 39
Table: Gas Net Exports (Egypt 2014-2019) 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (Egypt 2020-2025) 41
Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Africa - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: BMI Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 45
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 45
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 48
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 48
Egypt - Risk/Reward Index 50
Market Overview 52
Egypt Energy Market Overview 52
Regulation 52
Political Regime 52
Fiscal Regime 54
Table: Egyptian Tax Regime 54
Licensing Rounds 54
Table: 2015 Offshore Blocks Awarded 54
Table: Onshore And Offshore International Bid Round 2013 Awards 55
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 56
Oil Refineries 56
Table: Refineries In Egypt 56
Service Stations 57
Oil Storage Facilities 57
Oil Terminals/Ports 57
Oil Pipelines 57
LNG Terminals 58
Table: LNG Export Terminals In Egypt 58
Table: LNG Import Terminals 59
Gas Pipelines 59
Competitive Landscape 60
Competitive Landscape Summary 60
Table: Key Players - Egyptian Energy Sector 62
Table: Key Upstream Players 62
Table: Key Downstream Players 63
Company Profile 64
Apache Energy 64
BG Egypt 69
BP Egypt 75
Dana Gas 81
Edison 87
Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation 92
Eni Egypt 97
L1 Energy Dea 103
Shell Egypt 107
Other Summaries 112
Regional Overview 119
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 119
Table: Africa Oil and Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 127
Glossary 128
Table: Glossary Of Terms 128
Methodology 130
Industry Forecast Methodology 130
Source 132
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 132
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 134
Table: Weighting 135

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