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Indonesia Power Report Q2 2015

  • March 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Growth in the Indonesian power sector is set to accelerate in 2015. This is because several projects under the country's two Fast Track Programmes are due to come online, along with material changes to the country's business environment for power. These changes, initiated by recently elected President Joko Widodo, have also affected our long-term outlook for Indonesia's power, prompted us to revise up our long-term forecasts for the sector. In line with the electoral promises came the first tangible actions. On December 8 2014, Indonesian Minister for State Enterprises, Rini Soemarno, announced that the government was planning to review the running of its state-owned enterprises. She confirmed that there will be a 'management shake-up' at state power utility Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) similar to that at state energy firm Pertamina. The entire board of directors of Pertamina were dismissed in November, and a new chief and six directors have been appointed to lead the firm.

We forecast electricity generation in Indonesia to grow by 6.7% in 2015. This is a sensible increase compared to the 5.2% growth of 2014. The reasons for this outperformance are the progress made with the country's two Fast-Track Programmes (FTP) and the material changes to the business environment for power in 2015.We have therefore revised up our long-term growth forecasts for electricity generation in Indonesia. This is due to material changes in Indonesia's business environment for power in 2015. We now expect generation to grow an average of 7% per annum between 2015 and 2024, up from our previous forecast of 6.5%.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Power Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Indonesia Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2019-2024) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Indonesia Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018) 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024) 13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024) 15
Electricity Consumption 27
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018) 27
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024) 27
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 28
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2018) 28
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2019-2024) 28
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 31
Asia Power Risk/Reward Index 31
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Index 36
Indonesia Power Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 37
Market Overview 38
Key Policies And Market Structure 38
Regulation and Competition 38
Sustainable Energy Policies 39
Pricing 40
Indonesia Power Projects Database 42
Table: Key Projects Database 42
Competitive Landscape 53
Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) 56
Central Java Power 57
Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) 58
Regional Overview 59
Asia Regional Overview 59
Table: Fact Box: Result Of December 2014 Elections 62
Glossary 63
Table: Glossary Of Terms 63
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69

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