Turkey Real Estate Industry Update Quarter 2 2012
$ 1 088
- April 2013
- by Business Monitor International
- 73
Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
The Turkey real estate report examines the commercial office, retail, industrial and construction segments
throughout the country in its position as a key emerging market with a lot of potential.
With a focus on the two principal cities of Istanbul and Ankara, the report covers the rental market
performance in terms of rates and yields over the past 18 months and examines how best to maximise
returns in the commercial real estate market, while minimising investment risk and exploring the impact of
the country's long-term domestic demand credentials. Our most recent data collection - covering full-year
2012 - registered growth across all commercial real estate sub-sectors is increasingly impressive when
viewed alongside the performance of its EU neighbours and the precarious start to 2012. Nevertheless, BMI
would highlight the increasing risks to this stellar performance to date, as the risks of a hard-landing in
Turkey are ever increasing and the cracks are beginning to show with several of our key indicators returning
negative results.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Office Forecast Rents (TRY per m2/month) 14
Table: Office Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%) 14
Table: Retail Forecast Rents (TRY per m2/month) 14
Table: Retail Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%) 14
Table: Industrial Forecast Rents - (TRY per m2/month) 15
Table: Industrial Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%) 15
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 15
Table: BMI Industry Forecasts 2011-2016 15
Table: BMI Industry Forecasts 2017-2022 16
Macroeconomic Forecasts 21
Economic Analysis 21
Table: Turkey - Economic Activity 27
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 28
Europe - Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings 28
Table: Europe, Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings 28
Business Environment Outlook 29
Business Environment Outlook 29
Table: BMI Business And Operation Risk Ratings 29
Institutions 30
Table: BMI Legal Framework Rating 31
Infrastructure 33
Table: Labour Force Quality 34
Market Orientation 35
Table: Emerging Europe - Annual FDI Inflows 36
Table: Trade And Investment Ratings 37
Table: Top Export Destinations 39
Operational Risk 39
Market Overview 41
Office 43
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%) 44
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H212 44
Retail 44
Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (TRY per m2/month) 47
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%) 47
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H212 48
Retail Sales Indicators 48
Table: Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016 48
Industrial 48
Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (TRY per m2/month) 49
Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%) 49
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H212 50
Competitive Landscape 51
Company Profile 54
Emlak Konut REIT 54
Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi 56
Enka Insaat 58
Nurol Insaat ve Ticaret AS 61
Demographic Forecast 64
Table: Turkey's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 65
Table: Turkey's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of population) 66
Table: Turkey's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 67
Table: Turkey's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 67
Methodology 68
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 68
Construction Industry 69
Bank Lending 70
Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71
Sources 73