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Zimbabwe Mining Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Latest Developments & Structural Trends

- Zimbabwe is richly endowed with deposits of chrome, gold, nickel, diamonds and platinum, among otherminerals. Its gold reserves are among the largest in Africa, while it has the world's second-largestplatinum reserves. Diamond reserves are measured to be the second-largest globally after Russia.Development in these key markets together with a gradual more stable political and economic climate hasseen the country's status as major global producers strengthen in recent years. In terms of overall output,Zimbabwe is challenging the world's largest platinum producers, Russia and South Africa, while a recentreduction in taxes for smaller gold miners will see production rise at almost a double-digit rate this year.

- The mining sector will nevertheless face increasing challenges to its current growth trend, however.Political and economic risk remains a particular concern from both a regulatory and investment point ofview and the ZANU-PF will continue to spell trouble for the future of the industry.

- The changing regulatory environment surrounding Zimbabwe's diamond mining industry is likely tocreate challenges as well as opportunities for diamond production over the next few years.

- In terms of challenges, on February 22, 2016, the Zimbabwean government has ordered all diamondmining firms in the Marange diamond fields to halt operations and vacate their premises within 90 days,stating that their licences and special grants have expired. The announcement follows months ofwrangling between the mining companies and the government over its plans to merge the mines into asingle entity, under which the state-owned Zimbabwe Consolidated Diamond Company will own 51%.The diamond fields in the east of Zimbabwe near Mozambique are currently mined by Anjin, DMC,Jinan, Mbada, DTZ OZGEO, Rera, Gye-Nyame, Kusena and state-owned Marange Resources (seeregulatory development section for more insight).

- Zimbabwe is posed to challenge Russia and South Africa as the world's leading platinum producer overthe coming years as new investment by both existing and new players allows the country to capitalise onits considerable reserves, which are the second largest in the world. Coincidentally, the country will seeits status lifted by slowing production growth in neighbouring South Africa, where serious difficulties asa consequence of labour unrest and high energy costs will mean that the world's largest platinumproducer will experience major difficulties in maintaining production levels.

Table Of Contents

Zimbabwe Mining Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Zimbabwe Mining Industry Value 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Platinum: Output To Head Higher 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Platinum Production (Zimbabwe 2014-2020) 11
Table: Zimbabwe - Major Platinum Projects 11
Structural Trends 12
Refinery Decision Finally Made 13
Gold: Smaller Miners To Boost Production 15
Latest Developments 15
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Zimbabwe 2012-2020) 15
Table: Key Gold Projects In Zimbabwe 15
Structural Trends 16
Diamonds: Significant Growth Potential, Despite Unfavourable Environment 18
Latest Developments 18
Table: Diamond Production (Zimbabwe 2012-2020) 18
Structural Trends 19
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21
Zimbabwe - Risk/Reward Index 21
Rewards 21
Industry Rewards 21
Country Rewards 21
Risks 21
Industry Risks 21
Country Risks 21
Risk/Reward Index 22
Key Takeaways 22
Latest Revisions 23
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index 25
Regulatory Development 26
Regulatory Underperformance 26
Commodities Forecast 28
Commodities Outlook 28
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 28
Competitive Landscape 29
Table: Southern Africa - Largest Listed Mining Companies 30
Company Profile 31
African Consolidated Resources 31
Global Company Strategy - Impala Platinum - Q1 2016 33
Table: Impala Platinum - Key Financial Data 38
Regional Overview 40
Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector 45
Methodology 47
Industry Forecast Methodology 47
Sources 48
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 50

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