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Nordics Power Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 85 pages

BMI View

: This quarter our fundamental assumptions for Denmark, Finland and Sweden continue to berelevant. Taking into account relatively positive macroeconomic expectations for the Nordic region as wellas sector trends, we continue to expect power consumption growth in 2016. Similarly, we maintain ourlong-held view that, while growth expectations in the region are improving, economic woes in the eurozoneremain a major risk factor for the consumption and generation outlook of the three Nordic countries, asmore regional instability could undermine their economic activity. In terms of sector trends, we noteDenmark appears to be losing its energy self-sufficient status; while Sweden's phase-out of nuclear energycould put at risk the reliability of the system. Conversely, Finland's nuclear sector has seen some positivedevelopments.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- In Denmark, controversy over domestic energy policy will ramp up political pressure on Danish PrimeMinister Lars Lokke Rasmussen and feeds into our view his minority government will struggle to see outthe duration of its term to 2019. Potential flashpoints include attempts to water down emission targets -which will compromise Denmark's role as a leader in the fight against climate change during talks inParis - and the planned IPO of wind power champion, Dong Energy.

Table Of Contents

Nordics Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Nordics Snapshot 10
Denmark Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Denmark 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Denmark 2019-2024) 10
Finland Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Finland 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Finland 2019-2024) 11
Sweden Snapshot 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sweden 2014-2019) 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Sweden 2019-2024) 12
Nordics Power Forecast Scenario 13
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Denmark Power Forecast Scenario 14
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2013-2018) 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2019-2024) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2013-2018) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2019-2024) 18
Electricity Consumption 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2013-2018) 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2019-2024) 20
Transmission and Distribution 20
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2013-2018) 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2019-2024) 21
Finland Power Forecast Scenario 22
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 22
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Finland 2013-2018) 26
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Finland 2019-2024) 27
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Finland 2013-2018) 28
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Finland 2019-2024) 28
Electricity Consumption 29
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Finland 2013-2018) 29
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Finland 2019-2024) 30
Transmission and Distribution 30
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Finland 2013-2018) 31
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Finland 2019-2024) 31
Sweden Power Forecast Scenario 31
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 31
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2013-2018) 34
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2019-2024) 35
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2019-2024) 36
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2013-2018) 37
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2019-2024) 37
Electricity Consumption 38
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2013-2018) 38
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2019-2024) 39
Transmission and Distribution 39
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2013-2018) 40
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2019-2024) 40
Industry Risk Reward Index 41
Europe - NAWE Power RRI: US Outperforms Tepid European Power Markets 41
Nordics Power Risk/Reward Index 47
Market Overview 51
Regulation And Competition 51
Sustainable Energy Policies 52
Pricing 54
Nordics Power Project Database 55
Table: Nordics Power Projects Database 55
Competitive Landscape 57
DONG Energy 58
Vattenfall 58
EON 59
Fortum 59
Regional Overview 60
NAWE Power Regional Overview 60
Global Company Strategy 66
EON 66
Glossary 79
Table: Glossary Of Terms 79
Methodology 80
Methodology And Sources 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Sources 83
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 83
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 84
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 85

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