Belarus Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Industry Update Quarter 2 2012

$ 1 088 - April 2013 - by Business Monitor International - 73

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BMI View: We expect the volatility in the performance of the Belarusian pharmaceutical market to
continue, with political tensions increasing risks to our forecasts Although the government aims to
increase local output and meet at least half of domestic drug demand, we note that currency devaluation
would have significantly increased the price of imported raw materials and manufacturing equipment At
the same time, the country’s political stance may potentially disrupt supplies of high-tech medicines
currently imported from a number of developed markets
Headline Expenditure Projections:
- Pharmaceuticals: BYR6,057bn in 2012 (US$725mn) to BYR7,574bn (US$872mn) in 2013;
+25 0% in local currency terms and +20 4% in US dollar terms Forecast upgraded slightly
from Q113 on the basis of new macroeconomic and trade data
- Healthcare: BYR26,431bn (US$3 16bn) in 2012 to BYR33,488bn (US$3 86bn) in 2013;
+26 7% in local currency terms and +22 0% in US dollar terms Forecast upgraded from Q113
on the basis of new macroeconomic data

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