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France Metals Report Q2 2014

  • March 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 46 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

France's metals sector is set for very modest growth and, in some cases, decline, as major producers hold back on investment. Steel will continue to dominate the country's metals industry, but we do not expect any significant new investment. ArcelorMittal and Rio Tinto, the two largest producers in the country, are facing an increasingly hostile and competitive operating environment, with steel still cheap on a relative basis and aluminium being exported from China. We therefore do not expect France to return to pre-2008 rates of production over the foreseeable future.
The relatively strong performance the French steel industry enjoyed in H113 had dissipated in the second half of the year as it struggled with an increasingly sluggish domestic manufacturing sector and an equally listless European scenario. Uncertainty surrounds the future of ArcelorMittal's Florange steel mill, which has turned into an increasingly fraught political dispute. By 2013 a deal by the government to save the plant from closure with a five-year investment programme appeared to have failed due to technical difficulties, but it seemed unlikely the government would carry through with its threat to nationalise the facility.

Table Of Contents

France Metals Report Q2 2014
BMI Industry View 7
Metals SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Steel: Weak Growth Outlook As Economy Stalls 11
Demand: Muted Outlook For Infrastructure And Autos 12
Table: France - Steel Production, Consumption And Balance ('000 tonnes) 13
Table: France - Steel Industry Historical Data ('000 tonnes) 13
Commodities Forecast 14
Steel Price Forecast 14
Table: BMI Steel Forecast 14
Short-Term Outlook 14
Core View 14
Global Steel Glut To Persist 15
Production: Rationalisation In The Long Term 15
Consumption: Growth Decelerating 17
Excessive Chinese Exports 18
Growing Arbitrage Between East and West 19
Risks To Price Outlook 19
Table: Steel Data and Forecasts 20
Table: Global Steel Prices By Region and Product, US$/tonne (ave) 20
Commodity Strategy 21
Aluminium: Continued Short-Term Weakness 25
Copper: Recent Strength Doesn't Change Our View 25
Nickel: Recent Strength To Subside 27
Zinc: Price Momentum To Continue 29
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 31
Competitive Landscape 32
Table: Metals Industry - Key Facilities 32
Table: Largest Listed European Listed Metals Producers 34
Company Profile 35
ArcelorMittal 35
Company Strategy 38
Latest Financial Results 39
Company Details 40
Financial Data 40
Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data 40
Rio Tinto 40
Company Overview 42
Company Strategy 43
Latest Financial Results 44
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data 45
Methodology 46
Cross Checks 46

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