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  5. > Saudi Arabia Power Report Q2 2016

Saudi Arabia Power Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The outlook for public spending on all but the most important power sector infrastructure is astrong headwind, with the Saudi government undertaking fiscal consolidation as it faces up to lower oilrevenues. Delays and cancellations to the most ambitious and costly projects across all areas of the powersector remain the biggest risk to our forecasts as the kingdom rationalises spending. Upside risk comesfrom the strategic importance being placed on gas-fired generation.

Latest Trends And Developments:

- The outlook for Saudi Arabia's economy has deteriorated as lower oil prices force the government toramp up the pace of fiscal consolidation, as indicated by its 2016 budget. Given the power sector'sreliance on government spending, this has by extension darkened our capacity and generation forecasts.

- These conditions do not mean that the government will not spend on power infrastructure as it attempts tokeep pace with surging electricity demand and diversify the oil-heavy power mix so as to preserve oil forexport (rather than burning it domestically). It does, however, mean that certain projects - such as theFadhili gas project - which are crucial to the Saudi energy sector will be realised while others will bedelayed or cancelled.- We believe the more ambitious (and expensive) projects in the power sector - particularly new solar andnuclear capacity are particularly vulnerable to further delays.

- One bright spot for potential investors is that we expect a bigger focus on attempting to attract privateinvestment into the power sector via public-private partnerships (PPPs) - in an effort to reduce the burdenon the state.

- Saudi Electric Company (SEC) is expected to be debundled into separate entities in 2016, with foreigninvestment sought once these have been created.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Saudi Arabia Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Saudi Arabia 2015-2020) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Saudi Arabia Power Forecast Scenario 11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 11
Table: Saudi Arabia - Original 2032 Power Sector Targets (Now Pushed Back To 2040) 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 24
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 25
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 26
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 26
Electricity Consumption 27
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 29
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 29
Transmission and Distribution 29
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 31
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2020-2025) 31
Industry Risk/Reward Index 32
MENA Power Risk Reward Index 32
Table: MENA Power RRI 37
Saudi Arabia Power Risk Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Market Overview 40
Key Policies And Market Structure 40
Regulation And Competition 40
Table: IPP - Investment Opportunities 41
Sustainable Energy Policies 42
Saudi Arabia Power Projects Database 43
Competitive Landscape 45
Saudi Electricity Company (SEC) 46
Regional Overview 47
Glossary 53
Table: Glossary Of Terms 53
Methodology 54
Methodology And Sources 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 57
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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