South Africa Freight Transport Industry Update Quarter 2 2012
$ 1 088
- April 2013
- by Business Monitor International
- 76
Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI maintains a cautiously optimistic stance with regards to South Africa's freight transport sector in 2013
Although there are risks to the mining sector from a potential hard landing in China, our mining desk
believes that growth will continue, which bodes well for the rail and port sectors in particular
Headline Industry Data
- Rail freight growth will be 6 2% in 2013, and will average 5 7% to 2017
- Richards Bay Port's tonnage throughput in 2013 is forecast to increase by 1 3% Over the medium-term
we project a 3 9% average annual increase
- 2013 total trade growth is forecast at 3 8%, up from the estimated 4 6% expansion in 2012
- Road freight volumes are set to expand by 6 2% in 2013, and to average 5 9% over our forecast period
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Freight Transport 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Business Environment 13
Industry Forecast 14
Macroeconomic Outlook 14
Air Freight 15
Rail Freight 17
Table: Rail Freight 19
Road Haulage 19
Table: Road Freight 21
Maritime Freight 21
Table: Maritime Freight 22
Trade 23
Table: Trade Overview 23
Table: Key Trade Indicators, (US$mn) 23
Table: South Africa's Main Import Partners, (US$mn) 24
Table: South Africa's Main Export Partners, (US$mn) 25
Market Overview 26
Industry Trends And Developments 30
Rail Freight 30
Maritime Freight 31
Company Profile 32
Transnet Freight Rail (TFR) 32
Grindrod 39
Safmarine 42
Deutsche Afrika-Linien (DAL) 45
Regional Overview 47
Political Outlook 47
Domestic Politics 47
Table: South Africa Political Overview 49
Long-Term Political Outlook 50
Global Industry Overview 53
Global Oil Product Price Outlook 53
Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl) 53
Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts 54
Refiners: Is The Party Over? 56
Jet Fuel: Middle East & Africa Remain Positive As Global Air Traffic Slumps 59
Table: Total Air Freight & Passenger Volumes 61
Gasoline And Diesel: Demand Destruction Takes A Toll 61
Naphtha: Asia Stays Afloat While Europe Sinks 62
Bunker Fuels: Trans-Pacific Route Rebound Amid High Prices 62
Macroeconomic Forecasts 65
Table: South Africa - Real GDP Growth 65
Table: South Africa - Economic Activity 70
Demographic Forecast 71
Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 72
Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 73
Table: South Africa's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 74
Table: South Africa's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 74
Methodology 75
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 75
Transport Industry 76
Sources 76
Heavy Truck in South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2008 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport, Construction and Regional Development Slovakia/Ministry of Economy Slovakia/B
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa, Slovakia (slovak Republic)
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2002 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport, Construction and Regional Development Slovakia/Ministry of Economy Slovakia/B
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa, Slovakia (slovak Republic)
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2003 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport, Construction and Regional Development Slovakia/Ministry of Economy Slovakia/B
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa, Slovakia (slovak Republic)
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1996 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: World Bank/BMI Forecast/BMI Calculation
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1996 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: World Bank/BMI Forecast/BMI Calculation
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa
Heavy Truck and Bus in South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1995 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: World Bank/BMI Forecast
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1995 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: World Bank/BMI Forecast
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1995 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: World Bank/BMI Forecast
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1996 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: World Bank/BMI Forecast/BMI Calculation
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 1995 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: World Bank/BMI Forecast
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : South Africa