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South Africa Power Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We have upgraded our forecasts for the South African power sector, increasing generation in 2016 to 250terawatt hours (TWh), which we forecast will increase to 304TWh in 2025. The commissioning of newhydropower plants and the strong project pipeline underpins this forecast.

- Unit three of the Ingula hydropower plant has been inaugurated into the South African power grid, addinga total of 333MW of capacity. Eskom has stated that this will alleviate pressure on the power grid andallow room for maintenance on other power plants. The complete hydropower plant, consisting of four333MW units is forecast to be operational by the beginning of 2017.

- Eskom has stated that the addition of the Ingula hydropower plant will greatly reduce the risk of loadshedding during the winter months

- The De Aar solar power plant has been commissioned in March and will be adding 175 megawatts (MW)of solar power capacity to the grid. The power plant is estimated to provide power to up to 75,000 homes

- The Bokpoort Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) has been inaugurated, adding 50MW to the power grid.The Bokpoort CSP was constructed by Saudi Arabian firm, ACWA Power.

- The South African trade and industry department has stated that the East London Industrial DevelopmentZone (ELIDZ) currently has a growing pipeline of non-hydropower renewable energy investmentstotalling up to ZAR2.5bn (approximately USD162mn).

Table Of Contents

South Africa Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (South Africa 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
South Africa Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (South Africa 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (South Africa 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
South Africa Power Forecast Scenario 11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 11
Thermal Generation and Thermal Generating Capacity 13
Nuclear Generation And Nuclear Generating Capacity 17
Table: South Africa: Nuclear Reactors 18
Hydropower Generation And Hydropower Generating Capacity 19
Renewables Generation And Renewables Generating Capacity 20
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2019) 22
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2020-2025) 23
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2019) 24
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2020-2025) 24
Electricity Consumption 25
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2019) 26
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2020-2025) 27
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 27
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2019) 28
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2020-2025) 28
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2014-2019) 29
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2020-2025) 29
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index 30
Table: SSA Power RRI (Scores Out Of 100) 36
South Africa Power Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 37
Market Overview 39
Key Policies And Market Structure 39
Regulation And Competition 39
Sustainable Energy Policies 40
Pricing 42
South Africa Power Projects Database 43
Competitive Landscape 46
Company Profile 47
Eskom 47
Regional Overview 53
Glossary 59
Table: Glossary Of Terms 59
Methodology 60
Methodology And Sources 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 63
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 65

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