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The latest monthly production data for electronics and computers in the developed world were generally below our expectations. In the US, after a relatively strong outturn in August, high-tech production grew by just 0.1% in September. Moreover, new orders in the sector fell sharply in July and August, and the recovery in September was modest at best. The government shutdown is likely to weigh on production in October, and as a result, we are likely to see a downgrade to our forecast in H2 2013.
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