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India Commercial Banking Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

India Commercial Banking Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, November 2014 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking .. 9
Political . 11
Economic ... 13
Operational Risk . 15
Industry Forecast .. 17
Industry Trend Analysis 17
Table: New Guidelines To Lower Banks' Lending Rates . . 18
Table: Government Public Sector Bank Reform Roadmap 20
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index ... 22
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index ... 22
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . . 23
Market Overview ... 24
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook . 24
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 . 24
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP ratios, 2016 24
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) . 25
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 26
Economic Analysis ... 27
Table: Agriculture Uptick Unlikely To Last 28
Table: Economic Activity (India 2014-2024) . . 31
Competitive Landscape 32
Market Structure . 32
Protagonists .. 32
Table: Protagonists In India's Commercial Banking Sector . 32
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe . 32
List Of Banks . 33
Table: Public Sector Banks . 33
Table: Foreign Banks In India . 34
Company Profile 36
Bank of Baroda ... 36
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 37
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) . . 38
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 38
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 38
HDFC Bank ... 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 41
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) . . 41
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 42
ICICI Bank . 43
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 45
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) . . 45
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 45
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 46
Punjab National Bank .. 47
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 49
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) . . 49
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 49
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 50
State Bank of India ... 51
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 53
Table: Balance Sheet (INRmn) . . 53
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 53
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 54
Regional Overview 55
Asia Overview . 55
Global Industry Overview .. 61
Global Commercial Banking Overview 61
Regional Outlooks .. 61
Demographic Forecast . 68
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025) . . 69
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025) 69
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025) . . 70
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025) 71
Methodology .. 73
Industry Forecast Methodology 73
Sector-Specific Methodology 74
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 75
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 77

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