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China Information Technology Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Data for 2015 and the forecast for 2016 were revised down in the Q216 update but our corescenario continues to be for an expanding Chinese IT market and local industry. Despite heighteneduncertainty we expect a stronger growth trend in 2016 as the hardware market gains momentum andenvisage a CAGR of 8.1% for 2016-2020 as a whole. A hard landing is a downside risk, but under our corescenario we envisage broad based income growth, enterprise modernisation, and government support forthe IT industry, and particularly emerging technologies such as cloud computing and the internet of thingswill drive market expansion over the medium term. The overall outlook is positive but opportunities will notbe distributed evenly and challenges for foreign vendors operating in China as it pursues its nationalinterest will remain a factor.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

-Computer Hardware Sales: CNY592.1bn in 2016 to CNY735.5bn in 2020, a CAGR of +5.2% in localcurrency terms. Market maturity means growth will be slower than the decade to 2013, but risingincomes has upside for vendors to focus on higher price and margin PCs in the retail market.

-Software Sales: CNY100.8bn in 2016 to CNY164.5bn in 2020, CAGR of +11.9%. Rising labour costsand broader dynamic of enterprise modernisation will underpin increased software spending, while clouddelivery models offering lower costs and more flexibility will deepen the market.

Table Of Contents

China Information Technology Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
IT SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Developments 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2020) 17
Industry Risk/Reward Index 18
Table: IT RRI Score Breakdown By Region 19
Table: Asia Pacific IT Risk/Reward Index - Q2 2016 21
Market Overview 22
Hardware 22
Software 28
Cloud Computing 34
Table: China Cloud Vendor Developments, 2015 39
IT Services 40
Industry Trends And Developments 44
Regulatory Development 48
Table: Government Authority 48
Regulatory Developments 50
Competitive Landscape 52
International Companies 52
Table: Apple 52
Table: Foxconn 53
Local Companies 54
Table: Inspur 54
Table: Neusoft 55
Table: Yonyou Software 56
Regional Overview 57
Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025) 64
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sources 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Components 70

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