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  4. > Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A decline in total mobile subscribers is attributable to high market saturation, which cannotsustain further growth in light of Hong Kong's slowing economic growth and already high levels of LTEadoption. Operators are deriving growth by bundling higher-value products and services like video andsmart applications to their primary offering. In addition, the potential for postpaid subscribers tooutnumber prepaid ones will remove some subscriber number volatility and reduce churn rates foroperators in the longer term. This change in the mobile landscape will also buoy average revenues per user(ARPU).

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Latest data from the OFCA showed there were 16.59mn mobile subscribers at the end of November2015, down by 4.3% y-o-y. We forecast 17.10mn mobile subscribers by the end of our five-yearforecast period in 2020, for a penetration rate of 226.3%, of which 90.9% will be 3G/4G. The highlysaturated mobile market provides little room for organic growth, and revenue growth will come frommigrating subscribers on to postpaid plans and encouraging consumption of more value-addedservices.

- In wireline, the focus is on FTTH as subscribers demand faster and more reliable fixed networkconnections. Based on full year data from the regulator for broadband subscribers, we forecast thenumber of broadband internet subscriptions to reach 2.62mn by 2019, a 34.7% penetration rate.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Wireline Voice and Broadband 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 15
Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 16
Asia Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index - Q2 2016 18
Hong Kong Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers and Trends 21
Mobile 22
Wireline Voice and Broadband 26
Pay TV/Convergence 28
Regulatory Development 30
Regulatory Overview 30
Table: Hong Kong Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 31
Spectrum Release Plan (2013-2015) 32
Table: Hong Kong Spectrum Release Plan For 2013-2015 33
Regulatory Developments 34
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Telecoms Market 38
Table: Operator Revenues (USDmn) 38
Table: Hong Kong Mobile Market Overview 39
Table: CSL 39
Table: Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (3 Hong Kong) 40
Table: SmarTone Hong Kong 41
Table: PCCW Mobile 42
Company Profiles 44
CSL 44
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTHKH) 47
PCCW 52
SmarTone Telecommunications 57
Demographic Forecast 60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 61
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 63
Glossary 65
Table: Glossary Of Terms 65
Methodology 67
Industry Forecast Methodology 67
Sources 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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