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Commodity Price Forecasts

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 21 pages

The past month has seen a wide range of price trends within the commodities complex. There has been a strong surge in markets like copper and iron ore, which are expected to benefit most from a Trump infrastructure package due to higher demand. On the other hand, markets like thermal coal and Brent have tumbled as higher prospects for US supply appear to outweigh a brighter long-term demand view. OPEC is planning to announce an output cut shortly, which should also underpin oil prices, although oil demand looks very weak heading into year-end.

Table Of Contents

Commodity Price Forecasts
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Commodity Price Forecasts. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.

Commodity Price Forecasts


  • Overview of recent developments in the oil and industrial metals markets.

  • Forecast tables showing the latest data for the followingand#58;

    • Oiland#58; UK Brent oil, nominal prices; UK Brent oil, real 2005 prices; oil market overview table with five years of historical data (by quarter) and two years of forecast data.

    • Non-oil commodity pricesand#58; nominal prices, real 2005 prices.

    • Non-oil commodity price indices and y-o-y growth ratesand#58; tables and charts of data with five years of historical data (by quarter) and two years of forecast data. The tables include the following in US dollarsand#58; food, beverages, agriculture, metals, and fertilizer.

    • Base metal price indices and y-o-y growth ratesand#58; tables and charts of data with five years of historical data (by quarter) and two years of forecast data. The tables include the following in US dollars and Euroand#58; aluminum, copper, nickel, tin, zinc, iron ore, and lead.

  • Recent developments tables and charts showing the latest data for the followingand#58;

    • Energyand#58; UK Brent oil, daily data; UK Brent oil, monthly data; world oil pricesand#58; eight years of historical data (with monthly data for the previous year) for WT1, UK Brent, Dubai, Urals; oil product pricesand#58; eight years of historical data (with monthly data for the previous year) for diesel, gasoline, gas oil, residual fuel oil, jet kero, and benzene; commodity market price table in US dollarsand#58; nine years of historical data (with monthly data on past two years) for coal, UK Brent, and natural gas.

    • Base metalsand#58; commodity market prices for base metals, daily data; commodities price index for base metals, monthly data; commodity market prices for base metals, ten years of historical data (with monthly data on past two years) forand#58; aluminum, copper, nickel, zinc, iron ore, and lead; commodity market prices, steel (hot rolled coil), ten years of historical US dollars and Euro pricing data (with monthly data for past two years) forand#58; Europe, Asia, and North America.

    • Precious metalsand#58; commodity market prices for precious metals, ten years of historical data (with monthly data for past two years) forand#58; palladium, platinum, gold, and silver.

    • The Economist commodity price index, aggregatesand#58; ten years of historical data in US dollars (with monthly data for past two years) forand#58; all items, food, industrial, non-food, and metals.

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