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Commodity Price Forecasts

  • May 2017
  • 21 pages
  • Oxford Economics
Report ID: 1907493

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As we approach the middle of 2017, a pattern of considerable divergence has emerged across the commodities complex. Aluminium and palladium have led the way higher, helped by decent growth in the transport sector in Q1. On the other hand, the bulk commodities have been very weak, with iron ore down again and thermal coal falling by nearly 10% year to date. 

The OPEC meeting on 25 May added to the volatility of oil prices, with some post-meeting disappointment. OPEC had hinted that it might provide a bullish surprise, but when this was not forthcoming prices fell back once more to about US$50pb. Libya and US demand are key factors to watch in the weeks ahead.

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ref:plp2017

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