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Commodity Price Forecasts

  • January 2017
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 21 pages

The start of 2017 has seen mixed signals coming from the commodities complex. The Brent oil price has fallen by 2% m/m, while precious metals have rallied across the board, with gold prices up by 6% m/m and palladium prices jumping by 13% m/m. These trends give the impression of a more cautious investor hedging against Brexit- and Trump-related risks. In reality though, rallies in emerging market currencies have been the main driver and risk appetite is improving as an industrial upswing comes through in both Europe and the US.  

Table Of Contents

Commodity Price Forecasts
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Commodity Price Forecasts. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.

Commodity Price Forecasts


  • Overview of recent developments in the oil and industrial metals markets.

  • Forecast tables showing the latest data for the followingand#58;

    • Oiland#58; UK Brent oil, nominal prices; UK Brent oil, real 2005 prices; oil market overview table with five years of historical data (by quarter) and two years of forecast data.

    • Non-oil commodity pricesand#58; nominal prices, real 2005 prices.

    • Non-oil commodity price indices and y-o-y growth ratesand#58; tables and charts of data with five years of historical data (by quarter) and two years of forecast data. The tables include the following in US dollarsand#58; food, beverages, agriculture, metals, and fertilizer.

    • Base metal price indices and y-o-y growth ratesand#58; tables and charts of data with five years of historical data (by quarter) and two years of forecast data. The tables include the following in US dollars and Euroand#58; aluminum, copper, nickel, tin, zinc, iron ore, and lead.

  • Recent developments tables and charts showing the latest data for the followingand#58;

    • Energyand#58; UK Brent oil, daily data; UK Brent oil, monthly data; world oil pricesand#58; eight years of historical data (with monthly data for the previous year) for WT1, UK Brent, Dubai, Urals; oil product pricesand#58; eight years of historical data (with monthly data for the previous year) for diesel, gasoline, gas oil, residual fuel oil, jet kero, and benzene; commodity market price table in US dollarsand#58; nine years of historical data (with monthly data on past two years) for coal, UK Brent, and natural gas.

    • Base metalsand#58; commodity market prices for base metals, daily data; commodities price index for base metals, monthly data; commodity market prices for base metals, ten years of historical data (with monthly data on past two years) forand#58; aluminum, copper, nickel, zinc, iron ore, and lead; commodity market prices, steel (hot rolled coil), ten years of historical US dollars and Euro pricing data (with monthly data for past two years) forand#58; Europe, Asia, and North America.

    • Precious metalsand#58; commodity market prices for precious metals, ten years of historical data (with monthly data for past two years) forand#58; palladium, platinum, gold, and silver.

    • The Economist commodity price index, aggregatesand#58; ten years of historical data in US dollars (with monthly data for past two years) forand#58; all items, food, industrial, non-food, and metals.

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