1. Market Research
  2. > Country Economic Forecasts > Argentina

Country Economic Forecasts > Argentina

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 11 pages

The economy contracted by 3.4% y/y in Q2, a weaker outturn than our forecast of a 2.8% fall. The initial impact of President Macri's market-friendly reform agenda has been to trigger a recession in an already fragile economy, albeit with the prospect of significant improvement in the medium and long-term outlook. Domestically, a surge in inflation, increased auditing of public works and some uncertainty about the pace of reforms led to falls in each of the major demand components. While on the external front, imports continued to rise in response to the lifting of restrictions on trade earlier this year and exports dropped back after the temporary surge in Q1 (which was induced by the removal of most export taxes).

However, these headwinds are likely to fade over the coming quarters. Indeed, consumer spending was surprisingly resilient in Q2, while moderating inflationary pressures have allowed the central bank to ease monetary policy significantly over the last four months. We expect GDP to shrink by 1.1% this year but grow by 3.6% in 2017.

Table Of Contents

Country Economic Forecasts > Argentina

The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.

  1. Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
    main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
  2. Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
    data and 4 years of forecast data for the followingand#58;
    • Domestic demand
    • Private consumption
    • Fixed investment
    • Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
    • Government consumption
    • Exports of goods and services
    • Imports of goods and services
    • Unemployment
    • Consumer prices
    • Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
    • Government budget (% of GDP)
    • Short-term interest rates (%)
    • Long-term interest rates (%)
    • Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
    • Exchange rate (vs. euro)
  3. Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
    most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
    country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
  4. Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
    to the time period covered. These could include such topics asand#58;
    • Contributions to GDP growth
    • Monthly industrial output
    • Business and consumer confidence
    • Unemployment rate
    • Retail sales
    • Prices and earnings
    • Consumption and investment
    • Government balance and debt
    • GDP and industrial production
    • Monetary policy and bond yields
  5. Background Information on the country
    • One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
      that determine the country's current position
  6. Key Facts on the country
    • Map of the country
    • Key political facts
    • Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
    • Structure of GDP by output - latest year
    • Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
    • Corruption perceptions index- latest year
    • Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
    • Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
    • Composition of goods andamp; services exports - latest year

View This Report »

Get Industry Insights. Simply.

  • Latest reports & slideshows with insights from top research analysts
  • 24 Million searchable statistics with tables, figures & datasets
  • More than 10,000 trusted sources
24/7 Customer Support

Talk to Ahmad

+1 718 618 4302


Reportlinker.com © Copyright 2016. All rights reserved.

ReportLinker simplifies how Analysts and Decision Makers get industry data for their business.