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Country Economic Forecasts > Belgium

  • January 2017
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 12 pages

Similar to the rest of the Eurozone, Belgium's survey indicators painted an upbeat picture of economic activity in Q4 2016, with exports continuing to grow solidly and regaining market share and business confidence rising close to a five-year high. Meanwhile, the labour market recovery is gaining speed, providing support to household incomes. These early indicators point to a 0.5% GDP rise in Q4 2016, up from 0.2% in Q3. But the pick-up in inflation in Belgium has preceded that of the rest of the Eurozone. Barring further tax hikes, inflation is likely to stay broadly stable in 2017 at close to 2%.

Despite the stronger Q4, our GDP growth forecasts are unchanged at 1.2% in 2016 and 1.5% this year. Looking ahead, high public debt levels continue to pose downside risks, while a possible European downturn due to a weakened Italian banking sector or more protectionist trade policies would weigh on Belgian exports and depress the economic outlook too.



Table Of Contents

Country Economic Forecasts > Belgium
Belgiumand#58;


The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.

  1. Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
    main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
  2. Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
    data and 4 years of forecast data for the followingand#58;
    • Domestic demand
    • Private consumption
    • Fixed investment
    • Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
    • Government consumption
    • Exports of goods and services
    • Imports of goods and services
    • Unemployment
    • Consumer prices
    • Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
    • Government budget (% of GDP)
    • Short-term interest rates (%)
    • Long-term interest rates (%)
    • Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
    • Exchange rate (vs. euro)
  3. Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
    most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
    country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
  4. Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
    to the time period covered. These could include such topics asand#58;
    • Contributions to GDP growth
    • Monthly industrial output
    • Business and consumer confidence
    • Unemployment rate
    • Retail sales
    • Prices and earnings
    • Consumption and investment
    • Government balance and debt
    • GDP and industrial production
    • Monetary policy and bond yields
  5. Background Information on the country
    • One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
      that determine the country's current position
  6. Key Facts on the country
    • Map of the country
    • Key political facts
    • Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
    • Structure of GDP by output - latest year
    • Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
    • Corruption perceptions index- latest year
    • Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
    • Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
    • Composition of goods andamp; services exports - latest year

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