1. Market Research
  2. > Country Economic Forecasts > East Timor

Country Economic Forecasts > East Timor

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 10 pages

Rather surprisingly, Moody's opted not to downgrade South Africa this month, after putting its Baa2 rating (two notches above sub-investment grade) under review for a downgrade in March. The rating agency said its decision to keep the rating unchanged reflected the view that South Africa is approaching a turning point after several years of falling growth, although it noted that a downgrade would follow if economic activity fails to revive or if government debt metrics continue to deteriorate. We still expect South Africa to be downgraded to sub-investment grade this year by at least one of the main rating agencies.

Our GDP forecasts remain unchanged this month, with growth seen at 0.7% in 2016, 1.5% in 2017 and then 2.5% a year in 2018-19. And the impact of drought will drive up food prices during the remainder of the year, with headline inflation seen averaging 6.8% for 2016 overall. As such, we expect the repo rate to be raised by a further 25bp in both July and November.

Table Of Contents

Country Economic Forecasts > East Timor
South Africaand#58;

The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.

  1. Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
    main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
  2. Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
    data and 4 years of forecast data for the followingand#58;
    • Domestic demand
    • Private consumption
    • Fixed investment
    • Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
    • Government consumption
    • Exports of goods and services
    • Imports of goods and services
    • Unemployment
    • Consumer prices
    • Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
    • Government budget (% of GDP)
    • Short-term interest rates (%)
    • Long-term interest rates (%)
    • Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
    • Exchange rate (vs. euro)
  3. Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
    most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
    country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
  4. Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
    to the time period covered. These could include such topics asand#58;
    • Contributions to GDP growth
    • Monthly industrial output
    • Business and consumer confidence
    • Unemployment rate
    • Retail sales
    • Prices and earnings
    • Consumption and investment
    • Government balance and debt
    • GDP and industrial production
    • Monetary policy and bond yields
  5. Background Information on the country
    • One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
      that determine the country's current position
  6. Key Facts on the country
    • Map of the country
    • Key political facts
    • Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
    • Structure of GDP by output - latest year
    • Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
    • Corruption perceptions index- latest year
    • Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
    • Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
    • Composition of goods andamp; services exports - latest year

View This Report »

Get Industry Insights. Simply.

  • Latest reports & slideshows with insights from top research analysts
  • 24 Million searchable statistics with tables, figures & datasets
  • More than 10,000 trusted sources
24/7 Customer Support

Talk to Veronica

+1 718 514 2762


Reportlinker.com © Copyright 2016. All rights reserved.

ReportLinker simplifies how Analysts and Decision Makers get industry data for their business.