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Country Economic Forecasts > Malta

  • January 2017
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 7 pages

Malta has revised up its GDP growth in 2014 and 2015 to a very strong 8.3% and 7.4% respectively, reflecting new data for gambling and betting activities using updated financial statements for these years.

Despite the large revisions, the overall outlook remains broadly unchanged. Malta's economy will continue to decelerate from the boom years of 2014-15 but it will continue to enjoy solid growth, well ahead that of the Eurozone. Household consumption growth is expected to ease from last year, but it will continue to expand at a solid pace, underpinned by a strong labour market. Meanwhile, the key tourism industry also maintains solid momentum, further supporting economic activity. Further ahead, we expect growth of 2.5% a year in 2018-19.

The fiscal position remains healthy and Malta is expected to bring its public deficit below the 60% of GDP threshold this year. Recognising this, S&P upgraded its credit rating in October from BBB+ to A-.

Table Of Contents

Country Economic Forecasts > Malta

The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.

  1. Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
    main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
  2. Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
    data and 4 years of forecast data for the followingand#58;
    • Domestic demand
    • Private consumption
    • Fixed investment
    • Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
    • Government consumption
    • Exports of goods and services
    • Imports of goods and services
    • Unemployment
    • Consumer prices
    • Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
    • Government budget (% of GDP)
    • Short-term interest rates (%)
    • Long-term interest rates (%)
    • Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
    • Exchange rate (vs. euro)
  3. Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
    most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
    country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
  4. Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
    to the time period covered. These could include such topics asand#58;
    • Contributions to GDP growth
    • Monthly industrial output
    • Business and consumer confidence
    • Unemployment rate
    • Retail sales
    • Prices and earnings
    • Consumption and investment
    • Government balance and debt
    • GDP and industrial production
    • Monetary policy and bond yields
  5. Background Information on the country
    • One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
      that determine the country's current position
  6. Key Facts on the country
    • Map of the country
    • Key political facts
    • Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
    • Structure of GDP by output - latest year
    • Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
    • Corruption perceptions index- latest year
    • Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
    • Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
    • Composition of goods andamp; services exports - latest year

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