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Country Economic Forecasts > Morocco

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 5 pages

Morocco's short-term growth outlook has deteriorated as a result of weakness in the agricultural and phosphate sectors. Furthermore, the non-agricultural sector is weighed down by sluggish growth in the Eurozone and strong foreign competition. We now expect that the economy will grow by just 1% this year. However, the strength of these headwinds should fade over time, and a rebound in the agricultural sector will push GDP growth up to 3.5% in 2017.

The Moroccan authorities have made notable progress in the area of phasing out energy subsidies, having now eliminated subsidies on petrol, diesel and industrial fuel oil. This has greatly helped the country's fiscal position. The most recent development on the reform agenda has been further progress on pension reform, which will further support fiscal consolidation efforts, alongside lower subsidies and wage control.

Table Of Contents

Country Economic Forecasts > Morocco
Moroccoand#58;


The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.

  1. Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
    main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
  2. Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
    data and 4 years of forecast data for the followingand#58;
    • Domestic demand
    • Private consumption
    • Fixed investment
    • Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
    • Government consumption
    • Exports of goods and services
    • Imports of goods and services
    • Unemployment
    • Consumer prices
    • Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
    • Government budget (% of GDP)
    • Short-term interest rates (%)
    • Long-term interest rates (%)
    • Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
    • Exchange rate (vs. euro)
  3. Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
    most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
    country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
  4. Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
    to the time period covered. These could include such topics asand#58;
    • Contributions to GDP growth
    • Monthly industrial output
    • Business and consumer confidence
    • Unemployment rate
    • Retail sales
    • Prices and earnings
    • Consumption and investment
    • Government balance and debt
    • GDP and industrial production
    • Monetary policy and bond yields
  5. Background Information on the country
    • One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
      that determine the country's current position
  6. Key Facts on the country
    • Map of the country
    • Key political facts
    • Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
    • Structure of GDP by output - latest year
    • Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
    • Corruption perceptions index- latest year
    • Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
    • Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
    • Composition of goods andamp; services exports - latest year

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