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Country Economic Forecasts > Sweden

  • March 2017
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 13 pages

GDP in Q4 confirmed a strong end to last year,
with expansion of 1% on the quarter resulting
in growth of 3.1% in 2016 overall. Private consumption, usually a strong source
of growth, weakened slightly, but the contribution from net trade increased
considerably. Despite the strong end to the year, the Riksbank has held the
repo rate at -0.5%, reiterating that risks both at home and abroad have the
potential to hinder growth. Following the stronger than expected Q4 result, we
have raised our GDP growth forecast for 2017 to 2.6% (from 2.2% previously).
But this would still be below the 2016 outturn, and we then expect a further
slowdown to 2% in 2018 and about 1.5% in 2019-20.


Table Of Contents

Country Economic Forecasts > Sweden
Swedenand#58;


The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.

  1. Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
    main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
  2. Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
    data and 4 years of forecast data for the followingand#58;
    • Domestic demand
    • Private consumption
    • Fixed investment
    • Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
    • Government consumption
    • Exports of goods and services
    • Imports of goods and services
    • Unemployment
    • Consumer prices
    • Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
    • Government budget (% of GDP)
    • Short-term interest rates (%)
    • Long-term interest rates (%)
    • Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
    • Exchange rate (vs. euro)
  3. Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
    most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
    country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
  4. Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
    to the time period covered. These could include such topics asand#58;
    • Contributions to GDP growth
    • Monthly industrial output
    • Business and consumer confidence
    • Unemployment rate
    • Retail sales
    • Prices and earnings
    • Consumption and investment
    • Government balance and debt
    • GDP and industrial production
    • Monetary policy and bond yields
  5. Background Information on the country
    • One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
      that determine the country's current position
  6. Key Facts on the country
    • Map of the country
    • Key political facts
    • Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
    • Structure of GDP by output - latest year
    • Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
    • Corruption perceptions index- latest year
    • Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
    • Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
    • Composition of goods andamp; services exports - latest year

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