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Southeast Asia Renewable Energy Market

  • November 2013
  • 165 pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
Report ID: 1921041

Summary

Table of Contents

Clear Policy Framework to Spur Growth

This research service explores policy developments supporting the growth of renewable energy (RE) in 5 Southeast Asian countries—Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Indonesia. It also tracks RE projects that have been announced and are expected to be completed by 2018. The projects are in 5 different RE technologies—solar, wind, biomass, biogas, and geothermal The research service gives the yearly capacity addition for the various RE technologies during 2012 to 2018 and the yearly CAPEX addition for the same period. the competitive analysis focuses on the EPC participants in each of the different RE technologies, in the five countries, along with key success factors.

Executive Summary

•Globally, the renewable energy (RE) market continues to be driven by government policies and targets despite falling costs. Development of the RE market in the Southeast Asian region is no exception. Most of the countries in this region have some kind of financial incentive—feed-in-tariff policies, capital cost rebates, and net metering to name a few.
•To ensure energy security and sustainability, SE Asian countries have proposed ambitious RE targets to be achieved by 2025 and 2030 in their overall electricity portfolio mix.
•In 2013, the Southeast Asian RE market had an annual capacity addition of X? MW and generated a revenue of $X'billion.
•Annual capacity additions from 2013 to 2018 are expected to be volatile, adding a total CAPEX of $X? billion.
•The cumulative RE installed capacity was X'GW till 2013. By the end of the forecast period, i.e., 2018, the installed capacity is expected to increase to X'GW.
•Annual capacity additions are likely to peak in 2016, with X? MW capacity due to market maturity in most of the countries where the policy framework is being strengthened to attract more investments.
•So far, Thailand has been at the forefront in this region for RE investments, but by 2018, Indonesia is likely to become the largest market as it establishes RE targets and unlocks its potential.

CEO’s Perspective

1. The Southeast Asia RE market is expected to become more competitive as markets open up for private sector participation.
2. As need for energy sustainability gains prominence, RE power generation is expected to gain more mileage and support from governments.
3. With depleting oil and gas reserves, governments and private sector companies are bracing themselves against the risk by developing RE power generation.
4. Technological advancement is likely to have a major impact across all the RE power generation sectors making them more competitive with conventional generation.
5. The RE market focus is expected to shift from developed countries in the region to developing economies of Indonesia and Vietnam.

Market Overview—Definitions

•The renewable energy market update focuses on power generation facilities that use wind energy, solar energy, biomass, biogas, and geothermal energy resources.
•The research service covers the following Southeast Asian countries:
Malaysia
Thailand
The Philippines
Vietnam
Indonesia
•Annual capacity additions are presented in megawatts(MW).
•$/MW price is taken differently for the X? different power generation technologies.
•From the MW capacity addition for each technology and the $/MW pricing, the total CAPEX addition in million dollars is calculated for each technology in each of the focus countries.

Timelines
Base Year: 2013
Study Period: 2012–2018
Forecast Period: 2014–2018
CAGR Period: 2013–2018

Key Questions This Study Will Answer

What is the growth potential of the Southeast Asian renewable energy market and the CAPEX investments in this market during the forecast period?
What is the policy of each of the countries towards promoting renewable energy?
How will the policy or project planning of each of the countries, in each power generation sector, affect the capacity addition and CAPEX investment during the forecast period?
What is the base year pricing for each of the technologies and how is it expected to evolve?
How is the value chain of each power generation sector structured and who are the major engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) participants in each country?
What are the key success factors for companies in each of these countries?

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