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Kenya Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 82 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: While Kenya's underdeveloped healthcare infrastructure is not conducive to clinical trials (only14 clinical trials were registered in 2014), the country, as with other markets in the region, can offernumerous benefits to drugmakers looking to conduct clinical trials - including access to large, treatmentnaïvepopulations. BMI notes that this feature is vital in clinical trials as it reduces data variability.Furthermore, Africa has the world's highest population of HIV-positive patients and has a high burden ofcommunicable diseases. With the vaccine industry experiencing rejuvenation through globally-fundedalliances, providing cheaper immunisation programmes for developing countries, conducting clinical trialsin selected sub-populations such as those in Kenya will become increasingly important.

Headline Expenditure Projections

- Pharmaceuticals: KES63.75bn (USD725mn) in 2014 to KES73.74bn (USD742mn) in 2015; 15.1%growth in local currency terms and 2.4% in US dollar terms.

- Healthcare: KES190.42bn (USD2.17bn) in 2014 to KES213.03bn (USD2.16bn) in 2015; 11.9% growthin local currency terms and -0.4% in US dollar terms.

Table Of Contents

Kenya Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 10
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2011-2019) 11
Healthcare Market Forecast 12
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2011-2019) 13
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2011-2019) 14
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2011-2019) 14
Prescription Drug Market Forecast 15
Table: Prescription Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2011-2019) 16
Patented Drug Market Forecast 17
Table: Patented Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2011-2019) 18
Generic Drug Market Forecast 19
Table: Generic Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2011-2019) 20
OTC Medicines Market Forecast 21
Table: Over-The-Counter (OTC) Medicine Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2011-2019) 22
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast 23
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2019) 24
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts local currency (Kenya 2013-2019) 25
Industry Risk Reward Index 26
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2016 26
Kenya Risk/Reward Index 34
Rewards 34
Risks 35
Regulatory Review 36
Intellectual Property Issues 37
Pricing and Reimbursement Regime 37
Market Overview 39
Healthcare Sector 39
Table: Healthcare Resources (Kenya 2009-2014) 41
Table: Healthcare Personnel (Kenya 2009-2014) 41
Table: Healthcare Activity (Kenya 2009-2014) 42
Research and Development 47
Clinical Trials 48
Epidemiology 50
Competitive Landscape 53
Research-Based Industry 53
Table: Multinational Market Activity 54
Pharmaceutical Distribution 55
Pharmaceutical Retail Sector 57
Company Profile 58
GlaxoSmithKline 58
Merck and Co 61
Novartis 63
Pfizer 66
Sanofi 69
Demographic Forecast 71
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kenya 1990-2025) 72
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kenya 1990-2025) 72
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Kenya 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group (Kenya 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kenya 1990-2025) 74
Glossary 76
Methodology 78
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 78
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 78
Notes On Methodology 79
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 80
Index Overview 81
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 81
Indicator Weightings 82

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