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Kazakhstan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

We maintain a positive outlook for Kazakhstan’s oil production, thanks to huge underground potential and, the delayed Kashagan project ramping up production over the next three years in addition to the Tengiz expansion in 2022. Our forecasts for gas and refined products consumption will pick up in 2017 as strengthen macros favour stronger demand.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts



- Roxi Petroleum announced in October that it has spudded its Shallow Well 142 which is looking to prove the extent of the MJF structure. Jupiter Energy Limited has had its Exploration Licence extended to December 29 2019 and is progressing on getting a three-year work programme approved by the Kazakh Regulatory Authorities.

- Test pumping from the Kashagan field started in September with production ramping to 75,000 b/d by the end of October. Output from the field will increase over the next three years, reaching 261,000 b/d by the end of 2019.

Table Of Contents

Kazakhstan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 14
Table: Kazakhstan Major Upstream Projects 14
Upstream Production - Oil 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Oil Production (Kazakhstan 2014-2019) 20
Table: Oil Production (Kazakhstan 2020-2025) 20
Upstream Production - Gas 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Gas Production (Kazakhstan 2014-2019) 23
Table: Gas Production (Kazakhstan 2020-2025) 23
Refining 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Kazakhstan 2014-2019) 26
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Kazakhstan 2020-2025) 27
Refined Fuels Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Kazakhstan 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Kazakhstan 2020-2025) 30
Gas Consumption 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Gas Consumption (Kazakhstan 2014-2019) 32
Table: Gas Consumption (Kazakhstan 2020-2025) 32
Trade - Oil 33
Crude Oil Trade Forecast 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2014-2020) 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2020-2025) 35
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2014-2019) 37
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2020-2025) 37
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 38
Latest Updates 38
Structural Trends 38
Table: Gas Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2014-2019) 40
Table: Gas Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2020-2025) 40
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 41
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward 41
Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Indices 42
Upstream: Above Ground Risks Limit Underground Potential 42
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index 45
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market 45
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index 48
Kazakhstan - Risk/Reward Index 49
Upstream Index 49
Downstream Index 50
Market Overview 51
Kazakhstan Energy Market Overview 51
Regulatory Structure 51
Fiscal Regime 52
Table: Kazakhstan Fiscal Regime 52
Licensing Regime 52
Table: Kazakhstan Licensing Regime 53
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 54
Oil Refineries 54
Table: Major Refineries In Kazakhstan 55
Oil Terminals/Ports 56
Oil Pipelines 56
Gas Storage Facilities 58
Gas Pipelines 59
Competitive Landscape 60
Competitive Landscape Summary 60
Company Profile 62
KMG 62
Table: Key Assets 63
Regional Overview 65
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Regional Overview 65
Oil Production: Oil Powerhouses Falter On Weak Prices 65
Oil Consumption: Long-Term Growth To Be Gentle 66
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Key To Competing 67
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up Demand-Dependent 68
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions 69
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies 70
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Production and Consumption, Refining Capacity and Trade 71
Glossary 72
Table: Glossary Of Terms 72
Methodology 74
Industry Forecast Methodology 74
Source 76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 76
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 78
Table: Weighting 79

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