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Peru Mining Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Peru's mining industry will ramp up in terms of value and production growth, despite low mineral prices during 2016-2019. Competitive operating costs and a stable business environment will support a strong project pipeline.


Latest Updates & Structural Trends

- Peru's extractive industry will experience significant growth over our forecast period to 2019. We expect the sector's value to climb from USD20.1bn in 2016 to USD23.5bn by 2019, averaging 3.8% annual
growth. This rate represents a significant improvement from the 5.1% annual decline over 2012-2015. In particular, we expect copper and gold to outperform in terms of production growth due to strong project
pipelines and continued investment. Silver and tin will also benefit from a number of key projects, while lead and zinc output posts slower growth. The country will remain a top global producer of each of these metals.

Table Of Contents

Peru Mining Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Peru Mining Industry Value Forecast (2013-2019) . 7
Latest Updates and Structural Trends . 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Copper: Key Growth Bright Spot . 10
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Peru 2013-2019) 10
Structural Trends .. 10
Table: Peru - Major Copper Projects 14
Gold: Set For Solid Growth .. 15
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Peru 2013-2019) 15
Structural Trends .. 15
Hochschild and Buenaventura To Dominate Sector .. 16
Protests To Continue Against The Sector . 18
Lead: Limited Growth Ahead 19
Table: Lead Production Forecast (Peru 2013-2019) 19
Structural Trends .. 19
Silver: Modest Growth Despite Challenges 22
Table: Silver Production Forecast (Peru 2013-2019) . . 22
Structural Trends .. 22
Risks Slated To Downside 23
Table: Peru - Key Silver Projects . . 24
Tin: Minsur To Remain Key Player . 25
Table: Tin Production Forecast (Peru 2013-2019) . 25
Minsur To Drive Investment 26
Zinc: Regional Leader Despite Slow Growth . 28
Latest Developments . 28
Table: Zinc Production Forecast (Peru 2013-2019) 28
Table: Peru - Key Zinc Projects 29
Structural Trends .. 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 32
Peru Risk/Reward Index . 32
Rewards .. 32
Industry Rewards .. 32
Country Rewards .. 32
Risks . 32
Industry Risks . 32
Country Risks . 33
Americas - Major Risks Across The Board . 33
Regional Risks Increase Modestly . 33
Weak Prices To Hurt, While Stronger Dollar A Net Gain . 34
Table: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Index . 35
Regulatory Development .. 36
Trade and Investment Risk Analysis . 36
Commodities Forecast .. 40
Commodities Outlook . 40
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts . . 40
Competitive Landscape . 41
Table: Peru - Largest Mining Companies Financial Data 2014 42
Company Profile . 43
Global Company Strategy - Grupo Mexico - Q1 2016 . 43
Table: Grupo Mexico - Key Financial Data 46
First Quantum - Q1 2016 .. 48
Latest Results . 51
Table: First Quantum: Key Financial Data 52
Buenaventura .. 54
Latest Results . 55
Table: Buenaventura - Key Financial Data 56
Regional Overview 58
Americas Mining: The Three Key Themes .. 58
Key Themes: .. 58
Regulatory Environment To Remain Mining Friendly .. 58
US Dollar Strength And Low Fuel Prices To Incentivise Output 59
Latin American Output To Eclipse The North . 60
Methodology . 62
Industry Forecast Methodology . 62
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 65

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ref:plp2015

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