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United Arab Emirates Real Estate Report 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 54 pages

BMI View: Despite external pressures, demand in the commercial real estate industry is rising. Premium units in the office and retail sub-sectors are witnessing further investor interest; whilst expansion plans in industrial real estate could see rentals rise. We therefore hold optimism for commercial sector growth over 2016, although advice vigilance in light of falling oil prices that will stretch the economy. The United Arab Emirates holds economic strength through prominent sovereign wealth and further diversification from oil related sectors into contemporary industries over the past few years, more so than the neighbouring Gulf states, with over 40% of GDP contribution coming form services.

This indicates resilience to debilitating effects from the global economic cool down, a result of the fiscal struggles in China (a major trade partner) that has undoubtedly led the Arab nation to adopt more stringent economic policies. Additionally, foreign investor ownership has grown, revealing a more tolerant UAE in which domestic players have previously dominated the market. We opine that commercial real estate should see stability in rentals across the board, with marginal rental rise in premium units for office and retail, as a result of the growing demand, limited supply and inconsistent pipeline.

Table Of Contents

United Arab Emirates Real Estate Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Office Industry Forecast 15
Table: Office Rental Rates 18
Table: Office Yields (%) 20
Retail Industry Forecast 21
Table: Retail Rental Rates 24
Table: Rental Yields (%) 26
Industrial Industry Forecast 27
Table: Industrial Rental Rates 29
Table: Rental Yields (%) 30
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 31
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 37
Table: MAJOR PROJECTS: Residential and Non-Residential Buildings 37
Macroeconomic Forecasts 38
Economic Analysis 38
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 41
Table: Middle East Real Estate Risk Reward Index 41
Market Overview 43
Competitive Landscape 44
Property Developers 44
Property Managers 44
Demographic Forecast 45
Demographic Outlook 45
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 46
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 46
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 48
Methodology 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sources 51
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 52
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 54

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