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  4. > Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 75 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Brazilian petrochemicals industry is faced with heightened risk amid exchange ratevolatility and a slumping domestic market, on top of the worsening business environment which is seeingchemicals industry incentives withdraw, taxes hiked and input costs soar While export growth helped limitthe effects of a deteriorating domestic market in 2015, there is uncertainty over whether the sector will havesufficient access to competitively priced feedstock going forward, even as the recession is set to continueinto 2016The petrochemicals market was affected by recessionary forces in 2015 with a negative performance acrossthe polymer slate According to the Brazilian Chemical Industry Association (Abiquim), domestic demandfor resins fell 47% y-o-y in 9M15 Domestic sales fell by 15% y-o-y in the period, while imports showed areduction of 129% On the upside, production grew 39% y-o-y as a result of a 396% growth in exportsExports were boosted by the weakness of the real, which is continuing to slide in value against the USdollar and is set to fall to BRL400/USD in the near term

Table Of Contents

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Production 14
Consumption 15
Trade 17
Table: Brazil Petrochemicals Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts 20
Economic Analysis 20
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 24
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 24
Worsening market risk in Latin America 24
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings 27
Market Overview 28
Industry Trends And Developments 31
Petrobras Investment Programme 35
Foreign Ventures 36
Financial Results 37
Bioplastics 38
Company Profile 39
Braskem 39
Table: Braskem Financial Results - BRLmn 44
Petróleo Brasileiro (Petrobras) 45
Regional Overview 50
Americas Overview 50
Production Growth Concentrated in NAFTA 51
Table: Planned Cracker Projects 55
Global Industry Overview 56
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 56
2016 Feedstock Outlook 58
Could US Gas Run out? 59
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn 60
Long-term Outlook 60
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 64
Demographic Forecast 65
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 66
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 66
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 68
Glossary 70
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 70
Methodology 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 73
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 75

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