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  4. > Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q1 2016

Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A decline in total mobile subscribers is attributable to high market saturation, which cannotsustain further growth in light of Hong Kong's slowing economic growth. Operators are deriving growth bymigrating subscribers on to greater revenue-generating networks such as LTE. In addition, the potential forpostpaid subscribers to outnumber prepaid ones will remove some subscriber number volatility and reducechurn rates for operators in the longer term. This change in the mobile landscape will also buoy averagerevenues per user (ARPU).

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Latest data from the OFCA showed there were 16.72mn mobile subscribers at the end of August 2015,down by 1.7% y-o-y. We forecast 16.85mn mobile subscribers by the end of our five-year forecastperiod in 2019, for a penetration rate of 224.4%. The highly saturated mobile market provides little roomfor subscriber growth, and will revenue growth will come from migrating subscribers on to postpaidplans and encouraging consumption of more value-added services.- In wireline, the focus is on FTTH as subscribers demand faster and more reliable fixed networkconnections. Based on full year data from the regulator for broadband subscribers, we forecast thenumber of broadband internet subscriptions to reach 2.57mn by 2019, a 34.3% penetration rate.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Wireline Voice and Broadband 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Hong Kong 2012-2019) 15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk-Reward Index - Q116 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers and Trends 20
Mobile 21
Wireline Voice and Broadband 25
Pay TV/ Convergence 27
Regulatory Development 29
Regulatory Overview 29
Table: Hong Kong Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 30
Spectrum Release Plan (2013-2015) 31
Table: Hong Kong Spectrum Release Plan For 2013-2015 32
Regulatory Developments 33
Competitive Landscape 36
Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Telecoms Market 36
Table: Operator Revenues (USDmn) 36
Table: Hong Kong Mobile Market Overview 37
Table: CSL 37
Table: Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (3 Hong Kong) 38
Table: SmarTone Hong Kong 39
Table: PCCW Mobile 40
Company Profiles 42
CSL 42
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTHKH) 45
PCCW 50
SmarTone Telecommunications 55
Demographic Forecast 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 61
Glossary 63
Table: Glossary Of Terms 63
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69

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