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Mozambique Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We hold a relatively positive view on the agribusiness sector of Mozambique, as the country isable to produce most of its consumption needs. Mozambique has been attracting growing interest fromforeign investors and the agribusiness sector will benefit from this trend in the coming years. However,although the country could be able to tap abundant and largely unexploited land and water resources, itsproduction will not keep up with robust consumption growth. Self -sufficiency regarding corn and poultrywill slowly decrease in the coming years, leading to increasing imports.

Key Forecasts

- Sugar production growth to 2018/19: 17.9% to reach 483,300 tonnes. As one of Mozambique's keycash crops, long-term sugar production growth will reflect an increase in export-driven demand and theopening up of new markets; output is also expected to benefit from investment in biofuels.

- Poultry consumption growth to 2019: 20.3% to 57,800 tonnes. Among the factors underpinning ourstrong growth expectations are Mozambique's expanding population and the country's rising standards ofliving.

Table Of Contents

Mozambique Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Grains Outlook 11
Table: Mozambique - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Mozambique - Risks To Grains Outlook 12
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Mozambique 2011-2019) 14
Sugar Outlook 15
Table: Mozambique - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 15
Table: Mozambique - Risks To Sugar Outlook 16
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Mozambique 2011-2019) 20
Livestock Outlook 21
Table: Mozambique - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Mozambique - Risks To Livestock Outlook 22
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Mozambique 2011-2019) 25
Commodities Price Analysis 26
Global Commodities Strategy 26
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 26
Upstream Analysis 28
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 28
Africa Machinery Outlook 35
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 35
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012) 40
Africa GM Outlook 41
Table: Farm Size By Region 45
Downstream Analysis 47
Food 47
Latest Updates 47
Structural Trends 47
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mozambique 2012-2019) 48
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mozambique 2012-2019) 49
Regional Overview 50
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 50
Demographic Forecast 57
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025) 58
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025) 58
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025) 60
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sector-Specific Methodology 63

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