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North Korea Defence and Security Report 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 33 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

After the accession of Kim Jong-Un as North Korean ruler, the reform of the country's 'military first' policy has become apparent. Even though the Korean Peope's Army (KPA) is a weakened force - that suffers from logistical shortages, ageing equipment, and inadequate training - and the country is suffering from a tough domestic economic climate, we expect North Korea's pursuit of nuclear weapons and longrange ballistic missiles to continue. However, due to planned economic reforms, defence spending may be partly sacrificed. Reliable data about North Korean spending and resources are difficult to obtain, but its strengths are clearly in a vast infantry machine rather than in high tech capabilities it will consequently look to import.

In 2016, North Korea will remain a formidable military threat to its neighbours due to its massive 1.1mn strong conventional armed forces and its weapons of mass destruction, which include nuclear weapons.
Defence spending is estimated to increase by 3.0% in 2015, which is at a slower growth rate than the 5.7% increase in 2014. In 2016 however, we forecast North Korea to increase its defence spending by 7.8%, a
significant acceleration from 2015.

Table Of Contents

North Korea Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT 7
Defence 7
Industry Forecast . 9
Defence Spending . 9
Table: Defence Expenditure (North Korea 2012-2019) 10
Defence Trade 12
Imports 12
Exports 13
Armed Forces . 14
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (North Korea 2005-2012) . . 14
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (North Korea 2012-2019) . 16
Industry Risk Reward Index 17
North Korea Security Risk Ratings .. 17
Table: Asia Pacific - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index . . 17
Rewards .. 17
Risks . 18
Market Overview 19
North Korea Defence Market Overview . 19
Domestic Defence Market 20
Domestic Defence Market 22
North Korea Security Overview 25
Domestic Threats .. 25
Regional Threats 26
International Threats 27
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 28
Methodology . 31
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 31
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 32
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 32
Weighting 33
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index . 33

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