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Poland Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Milk prices remained low into H215, but production in Poland has increased regardless asdairy farmers take advantage of the end of the quota scheme The Polish government is lobbying for EUsupport on behalf of the dairy industry; however, in the long run it will take the exploitation of overseasmarkets to secure the future well-being of the sub-sector We are less optimistic about the sugar segment,which will struggle to increase yields sufficiently to thrive in the post-quota environment Grain yields willfall sharply on the back of this summer's drought, but our longer-term view is for improved farmingpractices to continue to boost output per hectare The livestock segment is adjusting to the fallout fromRussian sanctions and the outbreak of African swine fever We are now confident that pork and poultryproducers will enjoy export-led growth, although low prices are a concern for pig farmers

Key BMI Forecasts
- Wheat production growth to 2018/19: 53% to 100mn tonnes Expansion in output will be relativelysluggish, though coming from a high base
- Pork consumption growth to 2019: 88% to 18mn tonnes Demand for pork will grow in response tolower prices
- 2015 real GDP growth: 34%, down from 36% in 2014
- 2015 consumer price inflation (ave): -04% y-o-y, down from 00% in 2014

Table Of Contents

Poland Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Poland - Wheat Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Poland - Corn Production and Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Poland - Barley Production and Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Poland 2011-2019) 15
Table: Corn Production (Poland 2011-2019) 15
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Poland 2011-2019) 16
Dairy Outlook 17
Table: Poland - Milk Production and Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Poland - Butter Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Poland - Cheese Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Risks To Outlook 19
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Poland 2011-2019) 20
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Poland 2011-2019) 21
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Poland 2011-2019) 21
Livestock Outlook 22
Table: Poland - Poultry Production and Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Poland - Pork Production and Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Poland - Beef Production and Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Risks To Outlook 24
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Poland 2011-2019) 26
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Poland 2011-2019) 26
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Poland 2011-2019) 26
Sugar Outlook 27
Table: Poland - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 27
Table: Risks To Outlook 28
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Poland 2011-2019) 29
Commodities Price Analysis 30
Global Commodities Strategy 30
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 30
Upstream Analysis 32
Europe Machinery Outlook 32
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 35
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 38
Europe GM Outlook 44
Downstream Analysis 50
Food 50
Food Consumption 50
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 51
Confectionery 51
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 52
Meat 53
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 53
Fish 54
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 55
Oils And Fats 55
Table: Oils And Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 56
Frozen Fruit and Vegetables 57
Pasta 57
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 57
Snack Foods 58
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 58
Dairy 60
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 61
Regional Overview 63
Competitive Landscape 69
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 69
Demographic Forecast 70
Demographic Outlook 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sector-Specific Methodology 76

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