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Poland Mining Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 41 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Growth in the Polish mining sector will be modest over the coming years. The coal sector will be overhauled as the government seeks to restructure unprofitable mines. Copper output will struggle as falling copper ore grades and weak prices are set to hinder growth. Nevertheless, the rate of growth we forecast indicates that the country will remain one of the most significant players in the European coal, silver and copper markets.



Latest Developments And Structural Trends


- We expect slowing growth in Poland's copper sector over the coming years as weak copper prices and declining ore grades coalesce to deter investment in the sector. We expect copper production in the country to reach 507kt by 2020, an average annual growth rate of 0.9% over 2016-2020.

- In November 2016 Poland's government announced that it would ease and most probably eliminate the mining tax paid almost solely by state-controlled copper producer KGHM in 2017. The levy introduced in 2012 weighs heavily on KGHM, Europe's second biggest copper producer, given falling metal prices.

Table Of Contents

Poland Mining Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Poland - Mining Industry Value 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 8
Coal: PGG To Drive Growth 8
Latest Developments 8
Table: Coal Production (Poland 2011-2020) 8
Table: Poland - New Coal Projects 9
Structural Trends 9
Copper: Slowing Growth 13
Latest Developments 13
Table: Copper Production Forecasts (Poland 2011-2020) 13
Table: Poland - Selected Copper Projects 13
Structural Trends 14
Industry Risk/Reward Index 16
Poland Risk/Reward Index 16
Rewards 16
Risks 16
Europe: Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Europe - Mining Risk/Reward Index 20
Regulatory Development 21
Commodities Forecast 25
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 25
Competitive Landscape 27
Table: Poland - Major Mining and Metals Companies - Financial Data 27
Company Profile 28
Jastrz?bska Spó?ka W?glowa (JSW) 28
Table: JSW - Key Financial Data 30
Regional Overview 31
Methodology 38
Industry Forecast Methodology 38
Sources 39
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 40
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 41

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