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Slovenia Defence and Security Report 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 37 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: As a result of Slovenia's limited external and internal security threats, as well as its weakeconomy, the country's defence sector is small on a regional comparison. Although Prime Minister MiroCerar has announced that his government is committed to raising military spending - and despite animprovement in economic conditions from 2016 onwards - we do not expect the defence budget to growsignificantly over our forecast period to 2019, as the country will remain relatively secure, and withLjubljana continuing to direct the majority of funding towards socio-economic development.

Meanwhile,the Slovenian defence sector will remain focused on production of parts and components rather thancomplete products, as local manufacturers lack advanced technological capabilities and investment intodefence R&D is limited.In 2016, we forecast the Slovenian defence budget to reach a value of USD545mn, a 4.4% increase on 2015levels. This figure continues to make up a comparatively small proportion of GDP. At just 1.3%, in both2015 and 2016, Slovenia's defence expenditure remains well below the NATO requirement of 2%,illustrating the low level of threat from domestic unrest, terrorism, crime and interstate conflict - as well asstill-weak macroeconomic conditions. Prime Minister Miro Cerar has previously stated that his governmentis committed to raising the Slovenian military budget; however, we do not expect any large spendingincreases over our forecast period to 2019, as Ljubljana continues to focus its budget on socio-economicdevelopment. Moreover, out of the defence budget's already small share of overall spending, the vastmajority will be directed towards personnel and maintenance expenses, rather than new procurement andR&D.

Table Of Contents

Slovenia Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Defence Budget 11
Table: Defence Expenditure (Slovenia 2012-2019) 11
Armed Forces 13
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Slovenia 2005-2011) 14
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Slovenia 2012-2019) 14
Defence Trade 15
Exports 15
Imports 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Table: Europe - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Rewards 17
Risks 18
Market Overview 19
Defence Market Overview 19
Deployments 19
Domestic Defence Sector 20
Domestic Defence Market 21
International Partnerships And Defence Agreements 22
Security Overview 22
Domestic Threats 23
Regional Threats 26
International Threats 28
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 28
Company Profile 29
C-Astral 29
Fotona 31
Sistemska Tehnika 33
Methodology 35
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 35
Sector-Specific Methodology 36
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 36
Weighting 37
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 37

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